IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prg/jnlcfu/v2011y2011i1id98p68-80.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Valuation of equity capital markets using FED model
[Ocenění akcií v průběhu finanční krize pohledem FED modelu]

Author

Listed:
  • Jiří Korbel
  • Petr Blaheta

Abstract

The paper deals with problems related to valuation of equity capital markets using a well known FED model. Although the model has a relatively good explanatory power on historical data starting from 1979 to 2002, the recent development during the last financial crisis which started in 2007 and finished in 2009 resulted in significant deterioration of the models' usefulness for forecasting. We also outline selected specifications of the FED model and analyze its behavior during the financial crisis. We conclude that the reason for decrease in explanatory power stems from the change in economic fundamentals. The paper also explores theoretical drawbacks of the FED model.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiří Korbel & Petr Blaheta, 2011. "Valuation of equity capital markets using FED model [Ocenění akcií v průběhu finanční krize pohledem FED modelu]," Český finanční a účetní časopis, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2011(1), pages 68-80.
  • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlcfu:v:2011:y:2011:i:1:id:98:p:68-80
    DOI: 10.18267/j.cfuc.98
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://cfuc.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.cfuc.98.html
    Download Restriction: free of charge

    File URL: http://cfuc.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.cfuc.98.pdf
    Download Restriction: free of charge

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18267/j.cfuc.98?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Boudoukh, Jacob & Richardson, Matthew, 1993. "Stock Returns and Inflation: A Long-Horizon Perspective," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(5), pages 1346-1355, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sellin, Peter, 1998. "Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Working Paper Series 72, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    2. Beaulieu, Marie-Claude, 1995. "Rendements boursiers et inflation," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 71(4), pages 455-480, décembre.
    3. Boon, L.N. & Brière, M. & Rigot, S., 2018. "Regulation and pension fund risk-taking," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 23-41.
    4. Phuong Ngo & Francois Gourio, 2016. "Risk Premia at the ZLB: a macroeconomic interpretation," 2016 Meeting Papers 1585, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. James Lothian & Yusif Simaan, 1998. "International Financial Relations Under the Current Float: Evidence from Panel Data," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 293-313, October.
    6. Bampinas, Georgios & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2016. "Hedging inflation with individual US stocks: A long-run portfolio analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 374-392.
    7. David Le Bris & Pierre-Cyrille Hautcoeur, 2009. "A Challenge to Triumphant Optimists? A New Index for the Paris Stock-Exchange (1854-2007)," Working Papers 09-02, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
    8. Francis In & Sangbae Kim, 2012. "An Introduction to Wavelet Theory in Finance:A Wavelet Multiscale Approach," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 8431, September.
    9. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Dar, Arif Billah & Bhanja, Niyati & Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric, 2015. "Stock returns and inflation in Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 23-31.
    10. Adel A. Al-Sharkas & Marwan Al-Zoubi, 2011. "Stock Prices and Inflation: Evidence from Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Morocco," Working Papers 653, Economic Research Forum, revised 12 Jan 2011.
    11. Kryzanowski, Lawrence & Rahman, Abdul H., 2009. "Generalized Fama proxy hypothesis: Impact of shocks on Phillips curve and relation of stock returns with inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 103(3), pages 135-137, June.
    12. Chavez-Bedoya, Luis & Castaneda, Ranu, 2021. "A benchmarking approach to track and compare administrative charges on flow and balance in individual account pension systems," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 7-23.
    13. Giot, Pierre & Petitjean, Mikael, 2007. "The information content of the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio: Better than a random walk?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 289-305.
    14. Zaremba, Adam, 2015. "Inflation, Business Cycles, and Commodity Investing in Financialized Markets," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 6(1), pages 1-18, January.
    15. McCown, James Ross & Shaw, Ron, 2017. "Investment potential and risk hedging characteristics of platinum group metals," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 328-337.
    16. Austin Murphy & Anandi Sahu, 2001. "Empirical evidence of a positive inflation premium being incorporated into stock prices," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 29(2), pages 177-185, June.
    17. Daniel Fehrle, 2021. "Hedging Against Inflation: Housing vs. Equity," Discussion Paper Series 342, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
    18. Konchitchki, Yaniv & Xie, Jin, 2023. "Undisclosed material inflation risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 82-100.
    19. Nassar S. Al-Nassar & Razzaque H. Bhatti, 2019. "Are common stocks a hedge against inflation in emerging markets?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(3), pages 421-455, July.
    20. Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Stock return distribution and predictability: Evidence from over a century of daily data on the DJIA index," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-25.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    FED model; Financial crisis; Valuation; Finanční krize; Ocenění;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prg:jnlcfu:v:2011:y:2011:i:1:id:98:p:68-80. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stanislav Vojir (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/uevsecz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.