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The spatiality and driving forces of population ageing in China

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  • Lianxia Wu
  • Zuyu Huang
  • Zehan Pan

Abstract

Studying the spatial characteristics of China’s ageing and its influencing factors is of great practical significance because China has the largest elderly population in the world. Using 2000 and 2010 census data, this study explores the degree, pace, and pattern of population ageing and its driving mechanism using exploratory spatial data analysis and the geographically weighed regression model. Between 2000 and 2010, population ageing increased rapidly countrywide; yet, spatial differences between eastern and western China narrowed. The degree of provincial population ageing and its spatiality were determined by natural population growth, migration, and local economic development. Life expectancy and mortality were the primary long-term factors, and GDP per capita was the prime contributor in the early days of economic development; the migration rate was the dominant influence after 2010. China’s overall spatial differentiation of population ageing shifted from a north–south to an east–west division.

Suggested Citation

  • Lianxia Wu & Zuyu Huang & Zehan Pan, 2021. "The spatiality and driving forces of population ageing in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(1), pages 1-18, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0243559
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0243559
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fang Cai & Meiyan Wang, 2006. "Challenge Facing China's Economic Growth in Its Aging but not Affluent Era," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 14(5), pages 20-31, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yue Li & Chengmeng Zhang & Yan Tong & Yalu Zhang & Gong Chen, 2022. "Prediction of the Old-Age Dependency Ratio in Chinese Cities Using DMSP/OLS Nighttime Light Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(12), pages 1-23, June.

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