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Predicting Kudzu (Pueraria montana) spread and its economic impacts in timber industry: A case study from Oklahoma

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  • Paulina Harron
  • Omkar Joshi
  • Christopher B Edgar
  • Shishir Paudel
  • Arjun Adhikari

Abstract

Quantifying the economic impacts of invasive species is an essential step in developing and prioritizing invasive species management. In particular, kudzu, Pueraria montana (Lour.) Merr. is an aggressive and non-native vine that not only causes ecological damage and reduces biodiversity, but can have multiple economic consequences such as loss of timber value and volume. Using current infestation locations in Oklahoma, southcentral USA, a Monte Carlo simulation was run to estimate the natural as well as anthropogenic spread rate of kudzu in the next five years. Simulations were supplemented with an economic impact analysis within the Impact Analysis for PLANing (IMPLAN) platform. To account for economic loss in the forest product industry, a replacement cost approach with a sensitivity analysis was conducted. Occurrence data collections revealed that current kudzu populations are already established in Oklahoma forests. The results demonstrate that by year five, total industry output could be reduced by $167.9 million, which will influence 780 jobs in the most extreme case scenario. The predicted economic loss due to kudzu expansion could act as an incentive for appropriate management practices and plans to be implemented.

Suggested Citation

  • Paulina Harron & Omkar Joshi & Christopher B Edgar & Shishir Paudel & Arjun Adhikari, 2020. "Predicting Kudzu (Pueraria montana) spread and its economic impacts in timber industry: A case study from Oklahoma," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-12, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0229835
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0229835
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Omkar Joshi & Rodney E. Will & Chris B. Zou & Gehendra Kharel, 2019. "Sustaining Cross-Timbers Forest Resources: Current Knowledge and Future Research Needs," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-12, August.
    2. Pimentel, David & Zuniga, Rodolfo & Morrison, Doug, 2005. "Update on the environmental and economic costs associated with alien-invasive species in the United States," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 273-288, February.
    3. Starr, Morgan & Joshi, Omkar & Will, Rodney E. & Zou, Chris B., 2019. "Perceptions regarding active management of the Cross-timbers forest resources of Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas: A SWOT-ANP analysis," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 523-530.
    4. Liu, Lirong & Piper, Brian, 2016. "Predicting the total economic impacts of invasive species: The case of B. rubostriata(red streaked leafhopper)," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 139-146.
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