IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0220237.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Time window to constrain the corner value of the global seismic-moment distribution

Author

Listed:
  • Álvaro Corral
  • Isabel Serra

Abstract

It is well accepted that, at the global scale, the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) law describing the distribution of earthquake magnitude or seismic moment has to be modified at the tail to properly account for the most extreme events. It is debated, though, how much additional time of earthquake recording will be necessary to properly constrain this tail. Using the global CMT catalog, we study how three modifications of the GR law that incorporate a corner-value parameter are compatible with the size of the largest observed earthquake in a given time window. Current data lead to a rather large range of parameter values (e.g., corner magnitude from 8.6 to 10.2 for the so-called tapered GR distribution). Updating this estimation in the future will strongly depend on the maximum magnitude observed, but, under reasonable assumptions, the range will be substantially reduced by the end of this century, contrary to claims in previous literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Álvaro Corral & Isabel Serra, 2019. "Time window to constrain the corner value of the global seismic-moment distribution," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(8), pages 1-15, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0220237
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0220237
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0220237
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0220237&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0220237?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Corral, Álvaro, 2015. "Scaling in the timing of extreme events," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 99-112.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Corral, Álvaro, 2024. "Moments of undersampled distributions: Application to the size of epidemics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Corral, Álvaro, 2024. "Moments of undersampled distributions: Application to the size of epidemics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    2. Chicheportiche, Rémy & Chakraborti, Anirban, 2017. "A model-free characterization of recurrences in stationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 474(C), pages 312-318.
    3. Jiang, Jincheng & Xu, Zhihua & Zhang, Zhenxin & Zhang, Jie & Liu, Kang & Kong, Hui, 2023. "Revealing the fractal and self-similarity of realistic collective human mobility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 630(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0220237. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.