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Hierarchical and coupling model of factors influencing vessel traffic flow

Author

Listed:
  • Zhao Liu
  • Jingxian Liu
  • Huanhuan Li
  • Zongzhi Li
  • Zhirong Tan
  • Ryan Wen Liu
  • Yi Liu

Abstract

Understanding the characteristics of vessel traffic flow is crucial in maintaining navigation safety, efficiency, and overall waterway transportation management. Factors influencing vessel traffic flow possess diverse features such as hierarchy, uncertainty, nonlinearity, complexity, and interdependency. To reveal the impact mechanism of the factors influencing vessel traffic flow, a hierarchical model and a coupling model are proposed in this study based on the interpretative structural modeling method. The hierarchical model explains the hierarchies and relationships of the factors using a graph. The coupling model provides a quantitative method that explores interaction effects of factors using a coupling coefficient. The coupling coefficient is obtained by determining the quantitative indicators of the factors and their weights. Thereafter, the data obtained from Port of Tianjin is used to verify the proposed coupling model. The results show that the hierarchical model of the factors influencing vessel traffic flow can explain the level, structure, and interaction effect of the factors; the coupling model is efficient in analyzing factors influencing traffic volumes. The proposed method can be used for analyzing increases in vessel traffic flow in waterway transportation system.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhao Liu & Jingxian Liu & Huanhuan Li & Zongzhi Li & Zhirong Tan & Ryan Wen Liu & Yi Liu, 2017. "Hierarchical and coupling model of factors influencing vessel traffic flow," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(4), pages 1-14, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0175840
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0175840
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Goerlandt, Floris & Kujala, Pentti, 2011. "Traffic simulation based ship collision probability modeling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 91-107.
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