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Information Recovery in Behavioral Networks

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  • Tiziano Squartini
  • Enrico Ser-Giacomi
  • Diego Garlaschelli
  • George Judge

Abstract

In the context of agent based modeling and network theory, we focus on the problem of recovering behavior-related choice information from origin-destination type data, a topic also known under the name of network tomography. As a basis for predicting agents' choices we emphasize the connection between adaptive intelligent behavior, causal entropy maximization, and self-organized behavior in an open dynamic system. We cast this problem in the form of binary and weighted networks and suggest information theoretic entropy-driven methods to recover estimates of the unknown behavioral flow parameters. Our objective is to recover the unknown behavioral values across the ensemble analytically, without explicitly sampling the configuration space. In order to do so, we consider the Cressie-Read family of entropic functionals, enlarging the set of estimators commonly employed to make optimal use of the available information. More specifically, we explicitly work out two cases of particular interest: Shannon functional and the likelihood functional. We then employ them for the analysis of both univariate and bivariate data sets, comparing their accuracy in reproducing the observed trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Tiziano Squartini & Enrico Ser-Giacomi & Diego Garlaschelli & George Judge, 2015. "Information Recovery in Behavioral Networks," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(5), pages 1-11, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0125077
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0125077
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joshua D. Angrist & Alan B. Krueger, 2001. "Instrumental Variables and the Search for Identification: From Supply and Demand to Natural Experiments," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 69-85, Fall.
    2. Judge,George G. & Mittelhammer,Ron C., 2012. "An Information Theoretic Approach to Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521869591, September.
    3. DiPrete, Thomas A. & Gangl, Markus, 2004. "Assessing bias in the estimation of causal effects: Rosenbaum bounds on matching estimators and instrumental variables estimation with imperfect instruments," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Labor Market Policy and Employment SP I 2004-101, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    4. Tiziano Squartini & Diego Garlaschelli, 2014. "Stationarity, non-stationarity and early warning signals in economic networks," Papers 1403.4460, arXiv.org, revised May 2014.
    5. Leonardo Bargigli & Andrea Lionetto & Stefano Viaggiu, 2013. "A Statistical Equilibrium Representation of Markets as Complex Networks," Working Papers - Economics wp2013_23.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
    6. Judge,George G. & Mittelhammer,Ron C., 2012. "An Information Theoretic Approach to Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521689731, September.
    7. Mittelhammer, Ron C. & Judge, George, 2011. "A family of empirical likelihood functions and estimators for the binary response model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(2), pages 207-217, October.
    8. Joshua Angrist & Alan Krueger, 2001. "Instrumental Variables and the Search for Identification: From Supply and Demand to Natural Experiments," Working Papers 834, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
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    Cited by:

    1. George Judge, 2018. "Micro-Macro Connected Stochastic Dynamic Economic Behavior Systems," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-14, December.
    2. George Judge, 2016. "Econometric Information Recovery in Behavioral Networks," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-11, September.
    3. Tiziano Squartini & Guido Caldarelli & Giulio Cimini & Andrea Gabrielli & Diego Garlaschelli, 2018. "Reconstruction methods for networks: the case of economic and financial systems," Papers 1806.06941, arXiv.org.

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