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Impact of Colic Pain as a Significant Factor for Predicting the Stone Free Rate of One-Session Shock Wave Lithotripsy for Treating Ureter Stones: A Bayesian Logistic Regression Model Analysis

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  • Doo Yong Chung
  • Kang Su Cho
  • Dae Hun Lee
  • Jang Hee Han
  • Dong Hyuk Kang
  • Hae Do Jung
  • Jong Kyou Kown
  • Won Sik Ham
  • Young Deuk Choi
  • Joo Yong Lee

Abstract

Purpose: This study was conducted to evaluate colic pain as a prognostic pretreatment factor that can influence ureter stone clearance and to estimate the probability of stone-free status in shock wave lithotripsy (SWL) patients with a ureter stone. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 1,418 patients who underwent their first SWL between 2005 and 2013. Among these patients, 551 had a ureter stone measuring 4–20 mm and were thus eligible for our analyses. The colic pain as the chief complaint was defined as either subjective flank pain during history taking and physical examination. Propensity-scores for established for colic pain was calculated for each patient using multivariate logistic regression based upon the following covariates: age, maximal stone length (MSL), and mean stone density (MSD). Each factor was evaluated as predictor for stone-free status by Bayesian and non-Bayesian logistic regression model. Results: After propensity-score matching, 217 patients were extracted in each group from the total patient cohort. There were no statistical differences in variables used in propensity- score matching. One-session success and stone-free rate were also higher in the painful group (73.7% and 71.0%, respectively) than in the painless group (63.6% and 60.4%, respectively). In multivariate non-Bayesian and Bayesian logistic regression models, a painful stone, shorter MSL, and lower MSD were significant factors for one-session stone-free status in patients who underwent SWL. Conclusions: Colic pain in patients with ureter calculi was one of the significant predicting factors including MSL and MSD for one-session stone-free status of SWL.

Suggested Citation

  • Doo Yong Chung & Kang Su Cho & Dae Hun Lee & Jang Hee Han & Dong Hyuk Kang & Hae Do Jung & Jong Kyou Kown & Won Sik Ham & Young Deuk Choi & Joo Yong Lee, 2015. "Impact of Colic Pain as a Significant Factor for Predicting the Stone Free Rate of One-Session Shock Wave Lithotripsy for Treating Ureter Stones: A Bayesian Logistic Regression Model Analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(4), pages 1-12, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0123800
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0123800
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    1. Kim, Jaehoon & Kim, Sangsin, 2015. "2012년 국회법 개정의 효과 연구 [A Study on the Effect of the 2012 National Assembly Act Amendment]," KDI Research Monographs, Korea Development Institute (KDI), volume 127, number v:2015-03(k):y:2015:p:1-1.
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    1. Dong Hyuk Kang & Kang Su Cho & Won Sik Ham & Hyungmin Lee & Jong Kyou Kwon & Young Deuk Choi & Joo Yong Lee, 2016. "Comparison of High, Intermediate, and Low Frequency Shock Wave Lithotripsy for Urinary Tract Stone Disease: Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.

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