IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0105766.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting Physical Time Series Using Dynamic Ridge Polynomial Neural Networks

Author

Listed:
  • Dhiya Al-Jumeily
  • Rozaida Ghazali
  • Abir Hussain

Abstract

Forecasting naturally occurring phenomena is a common problem in many domains of science, and this has been addressed and investigated by many scientists. The importance of time series prediction stems from the fact that it has wide range of applications, including control systems, engineering processes, environmental systems and economics. From the knowledge of some aspects of the previous behaviour of the system, the aim of the prediction process is to determine or predict its future behaviour. In this paper, we consider a novel application of a higher order polynomial neural network architecture called Dynamic Ridge Polynomial Neural Network that combines the properties of higher order and recurrent neural networks for the prediction of physical time series. In this study, four types of signals have been used, which are; The Lorenz attractor, mean value of the AE index, sunspot number, and heat wave temperature. The simulation results showed good improvements in terms of the signal to noise ratio in comparison to a number of higher order and feedforward neural networks in comparison to the benchmarked techniques.

Suggested Citation

  • Dhiya Al-Jumeily & Rozaida Ghazali & Abir Hussain, 2014. "Predicting Physical Time Series Using Dynamic Ridge Polynomial Neural Networks," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(8), pages 1-15, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0105766
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0105766
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0105766
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0105766&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0105766?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bolton, Roger E. & Jackson, Randall W. & West, Guy R., 1989. "Introduction," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 237-240.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Waddah Waheeb & Rozaida Ghazali & Tutut Herawan, 2016. "Ridge Polynomial Neural Network with Error Feedback for Time Series Forecasting," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(12), pages 1-34, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Carla Castañeda, 2009. "How Liberal Peacebuilding May Be Failing Sierra Leone," Review of African Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(120), pages 235-251, June.
    2. Haider, Adnan & Hanif, Muhammad Nadeem, 2007. "Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan using Artificial Neural Networks," MPRA Paper 14645, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Kgothatso B. Shai, 2017. "South African State Capture: A Symbiotic Affair between Business and State Going Bad(?)," Insight on Africa, , vol. 9(1), pages 62-75, January.
    4. Kamala VALIYEVA, 2016. "The EU’s Eastern Partnership: Normative or Geopolitical Power Projection?," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 7, pages 11-29, December.
    5. Antonio Hernández-Blanco & Boris Herrera-Flores & David Tomás & Borja Navarro-Colorado, 2019. "A Systematic Review of Deep Learning Approaches to Educational Data Mining," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-22, May.
    6. Georgeta Ghebrea, 2018. "Using Interactive and Participant Methods: A Postmodern Shift in Political Science Research?," Postmodern Openings, Editura Lumen, Department of Economics, vol. 9(4), pages 1-15, December.
    7. Radhika Govinda, 2012. "Mapping ‘Gender Evaluation’ in South Asia," Indian Journal of Gender Studies, Centre for Women's Development Studies, vol. 19(2), pages 187-209, June.
    8. Bhagirath S. Chauhan & Prashant Jha, 2020. "Glyphosate Resistance in Sonchus oleraceus and Alternative Herbicide Options for Its Control in Southeast Australia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-13, October.
    9. G. Page West III & Charles E. Bamford & Jesse W. Marsden, 2008. "Contrasting Entrepreneurial Economic Developments in Less-Developed Latin American Markets: Applications and Extensions of Resource-Based Theory," Discussion Paper Series 2008-03, McColl School of Business, Queens University of Charlotte.
    10. Ricardo Real P. Sousa, 2018. "The context of conflict resolution - international relations and the study of peace and conflict," CEsA Working Papers 164, CEsA - Centre for African and Development Studies.
    11. Mariam Bibilashvili, 2021. "Japan’s South Caucasian diplomacy: the development of Japanese foreign policy towards Georgia," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 309-328, September.
    12. Lisa Kraus & Heike Proff, 2021. "Sustainable Urban Transportation Criteria and Measurement—A Systematic Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-21, June.
    13. R. Gopakumar & Kaoru Takara & E. James, 2007. "Hydrologic Data Exploration and River Flow Forecasting of a Humid Tropical River Basin Using Artificial Neural Networks," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(11), pages 1915-1940, November.
    14. Joseph Smiles, 2011. "Floor Crossing in South Africa," Insight on Africa, , vol. 3(2), pages 159-175, July.
    15. G. Page West III & Charles E. Bamford & Jesse W. Marsden, 2008. "Contrasting Entrepreneurial Economic Development in Emerging Latin American Economies: Applications and Extensions of Resource-Based Theory," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 32(1), pages 15-36, January.
    16. Kate A. Smith, 1999. "Neural Networks for Combinatorial Optimization: A Review of More Than a Decade of Research," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 11(1), pages 15-34, February.
    17. Zaman BUSHRA & Amin AMJAD, 2017. "Women, children and terrorism: social, economic and political costs (empirical investigation from Pakistan 2002-2015)," Romanian Journal of Economics, Institute of National Economy, vol. 44(1(53)), pages 107-120, June.
    18. Martina Dorigo, 2013. "Tackling Climate Change Through Social Change: A Comparative Analysis," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 19(3), pages 383-396, February.
    19. Ahmad Ali & Syed Imran Haider & Muhammad Ali, 2017. "Role of Identities in the Indo-Pak Relations: A Study in Constructivism," Global Regional Review, Humanity Only, vol. 2(1), pages 305-319, June.
    20. Sujit Lahiry, 2019. "Conflict, Peace and Security: An International Relations Perspective with Special Reference to India," Millennial Asia, , vol. 10(1), pages 76-90, April.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0105766. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.