IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0099906.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Alcohol Tax Policy and Related Mortality. An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of a Rapidly Developed Chinese Population, 1981–2010

Author

Listed:
  • Roger Y Chung
  • Jean H Kim
  • Benjamin H Yip
  • Samuel Y S Wong
  • Martin C S Wong
  • Vincent C H Chung
  • Sian M Griffiths

Abstract

To delineate the temporal dynamics between alcohol tax policy changes and related health outcomes, this study examined the age, period and cohort effects on alcohol-related mortality in relation to changes in government alcohol policies. We used the age-period-cohort modeling to analyze retrospective mortality data over 30 years from 1981 to 2010 in a rapidly developed Chinese population, Hong Kong. Alcohol-related mortality from 1) chronic causes, 2) acute causes, 3) all (chronic+acute) causes and 4) causes 100% attributable to alcohol, as defined according to the Alcohol-Related Disease Impact (ARDI) criteria developed by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, were examined. The findings illustrated the possible effects of alcohol policy changes on adult alcohol-related mortality. The age-standardized mortality trends were generally in decline, with fluctuations that coincided with the timing of the alcohol policy changes. The age-period-cohort analyses demonstrated possible temporal dynamics between alcohol policy changes and alcohol-related mortality through the period effects, and also generational impact of alcohol policy changes through the cohort effects. Based on the illustrated association between the dramatic increase of alcohol imports in the mid-1980s and the increased alcohol-related mortality risk of the generations coming of age of majority at that time, attention should be paid to generations coming of drinking age during the 2007–2008 duty reduction.

Suggested Citation

  • Roger Y Chung & Jean H Kim & Benjamin H Yip & Samuel Y S Wong & Martin C S Wong & Vincent C H Chung & Sian M Griffiths, 2014. "Alcohol Tax Policy and Related Mortality. An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of a Rapidly Developed Chinese Population, 1981–2010," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(8), pages 1-9, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0099906
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0099906
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0099906
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0099906&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0099906?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Moore, A.A. & Gould, R. & Reuben, D.B. & Greendale, G.A. & Carter, M.K. & Zhou, K. & Karlamangla, A., 2005. "Longitudinal patterns and predictors of alcohol consumption in the United States," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 95(3), pages 458-464.
    2. David Aristei & Federico Perali & Luca Pieroni, 2008. "Cohort, age and time effects in alcohol consumption by Italian households: a double-hurdle approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 29-61, August.
    3. James Collins, 1982. "The contribution of medical measures to the decline of mortality from respiratory tuberculosis: An ageperiod-cohort model," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 19(3), pages 409-427, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ogada, Maurice Juma, 2012. "Forest Management Decentralization in Kenya: Effects on Household Farm Forestry Decisions in Kakamega," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126319, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Mirella Damiani & Fabrizio Pompei & Andrea Ricci, 2011. "Temporary job protection and productivity growth in EU economies," Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia, Finanza e Statistica 87/2011, Università di Perugia, Dipartimento Economia.
    3. Terence C. Cheng & Nattavudh Powdthavee & Andrew J. Oswald, 2017. "Longitudinal Evidence for a Midlife Nadir in Human Well‐being: Results from Four Data Sets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 127(599), pages 126-142, February.
    4. Pallegedara, Asankha & Mottaleb, Khondoker Abdul, 2018. "Patterns and determinants of private tutoring: The case of Bangladesh households," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 43-50.
    5. repec:rza:wpaper:315 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Rozana Himaz, 2010. "Intrahousehold Allocation of Education Expenditure: The Case of Sri Lanka," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 58(2), pages 231-258, January.
    7. Drescher, Larissa S. & Roosen, Jutta, 2013. "A Cohort Analysis of Food-at-Home and Food-away-from-Home Expenditures in Germany," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 62(01), pages 1-13, February.
    8. Geir Gustavsen & Kyrre Rickertsen, 2014. "Consumer cohorts and purchases of nonalcoholic beverages," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 427-449, March.
    9. Yaldız Hanedar, Elmas & Broccardo, Eleonora & Bazzana, Flavio, 2014. "Collateral requirements of SMEs: The evidence from less-developed countries," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 106-121.
    10. Davide Castellani & Fabio Pieri, 2011. "Foreign Investments and Productivity Evidence from European Regions," Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia, Finanza e Statistica 83/2011, Università di Perugia, Dipartimento Economia.
    11. Stefan Mann & Daria Loginova, 2023. "Distinguishing inter- and pangenerational food trends," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 11(1), pages 1-18, December.
    12. Egemen İPEK, 2019. "An Empirical Study on Alcohol Participation and Consumption Decision in Turkey," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 27(41).
    13. Genereuse, Umuhoza, 2012. "Analysis of Factors Influencing Women Participation in Coffee Value Chain in Huye District, Rwanda," Research Theses 243451, Collaborative Masters Program in Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    14. Bruwer, Johan & Lesschaeve, Isabelle & Campbell, Benjamin L., 2012. "Consumption dynamics and demographics of Canadian wine consumers: Retailing insights from the tasting room channel," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 45-58.
    15. Drescher, Larissa S. & Roosen, Jutta, 2013. "A Cohort Analysis of Food-at-Home and Food-away-from-Home Expenditures in Germany," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 62(1).
    16. Liverpool-Tasie, Lenis Saweda O., 2014. "Farmer groups and input access: When membership is not enough," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 37-49.
    17. Stefano Herzel & Marco Nicolosi & Cătălin Stărică, 2012. "The cost of sustainability in optimal portfolio decisions," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3-4), pages 333-349, May.
    18. Yanjun Ren & Bente Castro Campos & Jens-Peter Loy, 2020. "Drink and smoke; drink or smoke? The interdependence between alcohol and cigarette consumption for men in China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 921-955, March.
    19. Tchékpo Fortuné OGOUVIDE & Ygué Patrice ADEGBOLA & Afio ZANNOU & Gauthier BIAOU, 2022. "Determinants of Farmer’s Participation in Formal Microcredit Markets in Benin," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 13(2), pages 77-95, December.
    20. Müller, Tobias & Shaikh, Mujaheed, 2018. "Your retirement and my health behavior: Evidence on retirement externalities from a fuzzy regression discontinuity design," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 45-59.
    21. Ogundari, Kolawole & Arifalo, Sadiat Funmilayo, 2013. "Determinants of Household Demand for Fresh Fruit and Vegetable in Nigeria: A Double Hurdle Approach," Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture, Humboldt-Universitaat zu Berlin, vol. 52(3), pages 1-18, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0099906. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.