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Does Human Migration Affect International Trade? A Complex-Network Perspective

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  • Giorgio Fagiolo
  • Marina Mastrorillo

Abstract

This paper explores the relationships between international human migration and merchandise trade using a complex-network approach. We firstly compare the topological structure of worldwide networks of human migration and bilateral trade over the period 1960–2000. Next, we ask whether pairs of countries that are more central in the migration network trade more. We show that: (i) the networks of international migration and trade are strongly correlated, and such correlation can be mostly explained by country economic/demographic size and geographical distance; (ii) centrality in the international-migration network boosts bilateral trade; (iii) intensive forms of country centrality are more trade enhancing than their extensive counterparts. Our findings suggest that bilateral trade between any two countries is not only affected by the presence of migrants from either countries, but also by their relative embeddedness in the complex web of corridors making up the network of international human migration.

Suggested Citation

  • Giorgio Fagiolo & Marina Mastrorillo, 2014. "Does Human Migration Affect International Trade? A Complex-Network Perspective," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(5), pages 1-20, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0097331
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0097331
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    1. World Bank, 2013. "World Development Indicators 2013," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13191.
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