IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0023380.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating Incidence Curves of Several Infections Using Symptom Surveillance Data

Author

Listed:
  • Edward Goldstein
  • Benjamin J Cowling
  • Allison E Aiello
  • Saki Takahashi
  • Gary King
  • Ying Lu
  • Marc Lipsitch

Abstract

We introduce a method for estimating incidence curves of several co-circulating infectious pathogens, where each infection has its own probabilities of particular symptom profiles. Our deconvolution method utilizes weekly surveillance data on symptoms from a defined population as well as additional data on symptoms from a sample of virologically confirmed infectious episodes. We illustrate this method by numerical simulations and by using data from a survey conducted on the University of Michigan campus. Last, we describe the data needs to make such estimates accurate.

Suggested Citation

  • Edward Goldstein & Benjamin J Cowling & Allison E Aiello & Saki Takahashi & Gary King & Ying Lu & Marc Lipsitch, 2011. "Estimating Incidence Curves of Several Infections Using Symptom Surveillance Data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(8), pages 1-8, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0023380
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0023380
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0023380
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0023380&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0023380?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anne M Presanis & Daniela De Angelis & The New York City Swine Flu Investigation Team 3 ¶ & Angela Hagy & Carrie Reed & Steven Riley & Ben S Cooper & Lyn Finelli & Paul Biedrzycki & Marc Lipsitch, 2009. "The Severity of Pandemic H1N1 Influenza in the United States, from April to July 2009: A Bayesian Analysis," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(12), pages 1-12, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kyriaki Kalimeri & Matteo Delfino & Ciro Cattuto & Daniela Perrotta & Vittoria Colizza & Caroline Guerrisi & Clement Turbelin & Jim Duggan & John Edmunds & Chinelo Obi & Richard Pebody & Ana O Franco , 2019. "Unsupervised extraction of epidemic syndromes from participatory influenza surveillance self-reported symptoms," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. van der Weijden, Charlie P. & Stein, Mart L. & Jacobi, André J. & Kretzschmar, Mirjam E.E. & Reintjes, Ralf & van Steenbergen, Jim E. & Timen, Aura, 2013. "Choosing pandemic parameters for pandemic preparedness planning: A comparison of pandemic scenarios prior to and following the influenza A(H1N1) 2009 pandemic," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 52-62.
    2. Rachael M. Jones & Yulin Xia, 2018. "Annual Burden of Occupationally‐Acquired Influenza Infections in Hospitals and Emergency Departments in the United States," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(3), pages 442-453, March.
    3. Eunha Shim & Gretchen B. Chapman & Alison P. Galvani, 2010. "Decision Making with Regard to Antiviral Intervention during an Influenza Pandemic," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 30(4), pages 64-81, July.
    4. Krystal Lau & Katharina Hauck & Marisa Miraldo, 2019. "Excess influenza hospital admissions and costs due to the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in England," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 175-188, February.
    5. George J Milne & Nilimesh Halder & Joel K Kelso, 2013. "The Cost Effectiveness of Pandemic Influenza Interventions: A Pandemic Severity Based Analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(4), pages 1-16, April.
    6. Ozgur Araz & Alison Galvani & Lauren Meyers, 2012. "Geographic prioritization of distributing pandemic influenza vaccines," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 175-187, September.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0023380. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.