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Causality between foreign direct investment in the automotive sector and export performance of Macedonian economy

Author

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  • Jovanka Damoska Sekuloska

    (University of Information Science and Technology, “St. Paul the Apostle” Ohrid, Republic of Macedonia)

Abstract

Research background: Foreign direct investment is perceived as a valuable tool for economic growth. The growth could be realized more or less as a set of benefits depending on the FDIs features. In the period from 2009 to 2016 a remarkable increase in the share of FDIs inflow in automotive sector in Macedonian economy was noticed, from 2.8% to 14.1%. Thus, there seem to be good reasons to examine the issue of how the increased FDI inflow expressed through the remarkable in-crease of FDIs inflow in the automotive sector. Purpose of the article: The aim of the paper is to analyze the causality between the increased FDIs inflow in the automotive industry and a remarkable export growth. The research interest of the study is to recognize the importance of the FDIs inflow structure as a determinant of the export structure. Methods: Within the paper a model is developed that identifies the FDIs as a factor of growth of the export performances. A regression analysis is used to examine the correlation between the FDIs inflow and export. In order to examine causality, the Granger causality test is applied between the FDIs inflow and increased export. Findings & Value added: The results suggest that FDIs create a good basis for quantitative and qualitative shift in the export structure of the Macedonian economy. The paper associates growth of sectoral export with the growth of FDIs in that sector. Due to the increased FDI inflow in the automotive industry, this sector has significantly increased its share in the total Macedonian export. The paper indicates that FDIs can be considered as a way of engagement in the global supplying chains, which additionally influences positively the competitiveness and export performance of the host suppliers.

Suggested Citation

  • Jovanka Damoska Sekuloska, 2018. "Causality between foreign direct investment in the automotive sector and export performance of Macedonian economy," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(3), pages 427-443, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:pes:ierequ:v:13:y:2018:i:3:p:427-443
    DOI: 10.24136/eq.2018.021
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wiesława Lizinska & Roman Kisiel & Alina Zrobek-Rozanska, 2020. "Foreign Direct Investment in Poland and Changes in the Branch Structure," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 1), pages 201-214.
    2. Hui Wang & Xin Zhong, 2023. "An Empirical Study on the Impact of Chinese OFDI on the Global Value Chain Positions of Countries Along the Belt and Road and Threshold Effects," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, February.
    3. Radovan Kastratović, 2020. "The impact of foreign direct investment on host country exports: A meta‐analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(12), pages 3142-3183, December.
    4. Adil Saleem & Judit Sági & Budi Setiawan, 2021. "Islamic Financial Depth, Financial Intermediation, and Sustainable Economic Growth: ARDL Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-22, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI; automotive industry; export; causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business

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