IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/palcom/v11y2024i1d10.1057_s41599-024-03851-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analyzing and predicting the urbanization and ecological resilience coupling and coordination of Guangdong Province

Author

Listed:
  • Zhenjie Liao

    (Guangzhou Huashang College)

  • Lijuan Zhang

    (Guangzhou Huashang College
    Universiti Sains Malaysia)

Abstract

Taking 21 cities in Guangdong Province as the research object, this study quantitatively analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution of urbanization and ecological environment coupling from 2000 to 2020 using a coupling coordination model, and predicts the coordinated development of urbanization and ecological resilience coupling from 2000 to 2020 using an LSTM deep learning model. Analysis of the geographical data conveys the following observations: (1) Remotely sensed night-time luminosity data indicate a precipitous escalation in the urbanization quotient within Guangdong, with the Pearl River Delta, featuring Guangzhou and Shenzhen as hubs, exhibiting high levels of nocturnal radiance, in stark contrast to the lower and more dispersed illumination in the province’s northern latitudes. (2) Indices of ecological resilience suggest a progressive enhancement across Guangdong, with Maoming exhibiting the utmost resilience, succeeded by Jiangmen, Dongguan, Shenzhen, and Zhongshan in terms of ecological robustness. (3) The synergistic relationship between urbanization dynamics and ecological resilience metrics in Guangdong has been incrementally enhanced, with Qingyuan and Shaoguan exemplifying optimal coupling and coordination, while Zhongshan has experienced the most pronounced increment in these interdependencies. (4) The proportional advancement of urbanization and ecological resilience in the province is approaching a theoretical equilibrium state. (5) Projections based on spatiotemporal models forecast a gradual upgrade in the urban-ecological systems’ coupling and coordination coefficients from 2021 to 2025, with a general trend of incremental progression among the majority of the province’s urban centers towards a moderate level of integrated development.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhenjie Liao & Lijuan Zhang, 2024. "Analyzing and predicting the urbanization and ecological resilience coupling and coordination of Guangdong Province," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palcom:v:11:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1057_s41599-024-03851-3
    DOI: 10.1057/s41599-024-03851-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/s41599-024-03851-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/s41599-024-03851-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ron Boschma, 2015. "Towards an Evolutionary Perspective on Regional Resilience," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(5), pages 733-751, May.
    2. Yu Chen & Qianqian Miao & Qian Zhou, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Differentiation and Driving Force Analysis of the High-Quality Development of Urban Agglomerations along the Yellow River Basin," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(4), pages 1-21, February.
    3. Manfred Lenzen & Ya-Yen Sun & Futu Faturay & Yuan-Peng Ting & Arne Geschke & Arunima Malik, 2018. "The carbon footprint of global tourism," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(6), pages 522-528, June.
    4. Xiao-Peng Song & Matthew C. Hansen & Stephen V. Stehman & Peter V. Potapov & Alexandra Tyukavina & Eric F. Vermote & John R. Townshend, 2018. "Global land change from 1982 to 2016," Nature, Nature, vol. 560(7720), pages 639-643, August.
    5. McPhearson, Timon & Andersson, Erik & Elmqvist, Thomas & Frantzeskaki, Niki, 2015. "Resilience of and through urban ecosystem services," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 152-156.
    6. Guangzhao Chen & Xia Li & Xiaoping Liu & Yimin Chen & Xun Liang & Jiye Leng & Xiaocong Xu & Weilin Liao & Yue’an Qiu & Qianlian Wu & Kangning Huang, 2020. "Global projections of future urban land expansion under shared socioeconomic pathways," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    7. Xiao-Peng Song & Matthew C. Hansen & Stephen V. Stehman & Peter V. Potapov & Alexandra Tyukavina & Eric F. Vermote & John R. Townshend, 2018. "Author Correction: Global land change from 1982 to 2016," Nature, Nature, vol. 563(7732), pages 26-26, November.
    8. Reggiani, Aura, 2013. "Network resilience for transport security: Some methodological considerations," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 63-68.
    9. Manfred Lenzen & Ya-Yen Sun & Futu Faturay & Yuan-Peng Ting & Arne Geschke & Arunima Malik, 2018. "Author Correction: The carbon footprint of global tourism," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(6), pages 544-544, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Weimin Gong & Chengxin Wang & Dan Men & Ming Zhang & Aixia Xu, 2024. "The Synergistic Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Tourism Economy and Urban Green Development Efficiency in the Yellow River Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-22, September.
    2. Kong, Xuesong & Fu, Mengxue & Zhao, Xiang & Wang, Jing & Jiang, Ping, 2022. "Ecological effects of land-use change on two sides of the Hu Huanyong Line in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    3. Zhenjie Liao & Lijuan Zhang, 2023. "Spatio-temporal evolution and future simulation of urban agglomeration expansion in the Guangdong–Hongkong–Macau Greater Bay Area," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Wu, Bingfang & Fu, Zhijun & Fu, Bojie & Yan, Changzhen & Zeng, Hongwei & Zhao, Wenwu, 2024. "Dynamics of land cover changes and driving forces in China’s drylands since the 1970 s," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    5. Srijana Shrestha & Khem Narayan Poudyal & Nawraj Bhattarai & Mohan B. Dangi & John J. Boland, 2022. "An Assessment of the Impact of Land Use and Land Cover Change on the Degradation of Ecosystem Service Values in Kathmandu Valley Using Remote Sensing and GIS," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, November.
    6. Weijia Chen & Yongquan Lu & Guilin Liu, 2022. "Balancing cropland gain and desert vegetation loss: The key to rural revitalization in Xinjiang, China," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(3), pages 1122-1145, September.
    7. Run Liu & Ziyue Qiu, 2022. "Urban Sustainable Development Empowered by Cultural and Tourism Industries: Using Zhenjiang as an Example," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-15, October.
    8. Baoni Li & Lihua Xiong & Quan Zhang & Shilei Chen & Han Yang & Shuhui Guo, 2022. "Effects of land use/cover change on atmospheric humidity in three urban agglomerations in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(1), pages 577-613, August.
    9. Chlupsa, Christian & Dietert, Tilko & Flori, Heiko & Herbrand, Marc & Istok, Ferdinand & Kocagöz, Orhan & Kraus, Hans & Ladnar, Nadine & Mendler, Josef & Mörtl, Timo & Ranig, Ragna & Rühl, Alexander &, 2023. "Nachhaltige Mobilität der Zukunft," KCFM Schriftenreihe, FOM Hochschule für Oekonomie & Management, KCFM KompetenzCentrum für Future Mobility, volume 1, number 1 edited by FOM Hochschule für Oekonomie & Management, KCFM KompetenzCentrum für Future Mobility.
    10. Talwar, Shalini & Kaur, Puneet & Escobar, Octavio & Lan, Sai, 2022. "Virtual reality tourism to satisfy wanderlust without wandering: An unconventional innovation to promote sustainability," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 128-143.
    11. Wei Fan & Xiankun Yang & Shirong Cai & Haidong Ou & Tao Zhou & Dakang Wang, 2024. "Land-Use/Cover Change and Driving Forces in the Pan-Pearl River Basin during the Period 1985–2020," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-26, June.
    12. Natalia Porto & Matías Ciaschi, 2021. "Reformulating the tourism-extended environmental Kuznets curve: A quantile regression analysis under environmental legal conditions," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 991-1014, August.
    13. Pipatpong Fakfare & Walanchalee Wattanacharoensil, 2023. "Low‐carbon tourism for island destinations: A crucial alternative for sustainable development," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 180-197, February.
    14. Nicholas Apergis & Konstantinos Gavriilidis & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Does climate policy uncertainty affect tourism demand? Evidence from time-varying causality tests," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(6), pages 1484-1498, September.
    15. Ti-An Chen, 2022. "Business Performance Evaluation for Tourism Factory: Using DEA Approach and Delphi Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-19, July.
    16. Cathrine Linnes & Jerome Agrusa & Giulio Ronzoni & Joseph Lema, 2022. "What Tourists Want, a Sustainable Paradise," Tourism and Hospitality, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-20, February.
    17. Uktam Umurzakov & Shakhnoza Tosheva & Raufhon Salahodjaev, 2023. "Tourism and Sustainable Economic Development: Evidence from Belt and Road Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(1), pages 503-516, March.
    18. Tatiana Montenegro-Romero & Cristián Vergara-Fernández & Fabian Argandoña-Castro & Fernando Peña-Cortés, 2022. "Agriculture and Temperate Fruit Crop Dynamics in South-Central Chile: Challenges for Fruit Crop Production in La Araucanía Region, Chile," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-12, May.
    19. Tribe, John & Paddison, Brendan, 2023. "Critical tourism strategy," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    20. Michel Opelele Omeno & Ying Yu & Wenyi Fan & Tolerant Lubalega & Chen Chen & Claude Kachaka Sudi Kaiko, 2021. "Analysis of the Impact of Land-Use/Land-Cover Change on Land-Surface Temperature in the Villages within the Luki Biosphere Reserve," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-23, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:palcom:v:11:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1057_s41599-024-03851-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.nature.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.