IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/jorsoc/v68y2017i11d10.1057_s41274-016-0163-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An efficient approximate solution for stochastic Lanchester models

Author

Listed:
  • Donghyun Kim

    (KAIST)

  • Hyungil Moon

    (KAIST)

  • Donghyun Park

    (KAIST)

  • Hayong Shin

    (KAIST)

Abstract

Combat modeling is one of the essential topics for military decision making. The Lanchester equation is a classic method for modeling warfare, and many variations have extended its limitations and relaxed its assumptions. As a model becomes more complex, solving it analytically becomes intractable or computationally expensive. Hence, we propose two approximation methods: moment-matching scheme and a supporting method called battle-end approximation. These methods give an approximate solution in a short amount of time, while maintaining a high level of accuracy in simulation results in terms of hypothesis testing and numerical verification. They can be applied to computationally intensive problems, such as optimal resource allocation and analysis with asymmetric power like snipers or stealth aircrafts.

Suggested Citation

  • Donghyun Kim & Hyungil Moon & Donghyun Park & Hayong Shin, 2017. "An efficient approximate solution for stochastic Lanchester models," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(11), pages 1470-1481, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:68:y:2017:i:11:d:10.1057_s41274-016-0163-6
    DOI: 10.1057/s41274-016-0163-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/s41274-016-0163-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/s41274-016-0163-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. G T Kaup & D J Kaup & N M Finkelstein, 2005. "The Lanchester (n, 1) problem," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(12), pages 1399-1407, December.
    2. Jerome Bracken, 1995. "Lanchester models of the ardennes campaign," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(4), pages 559-577, June.
    3. Michael Armstrong, 2011. "A verification study of the stochastic salvo combat model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 186(1), pages 23-38, June.
    4. N J MacKay, 2009. "Lanchester models for mixed forces with semi-dynamical target allocation," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(10), pages 1421-1427, October.
    5. Michael J. Armstrong, 2005. "A Stochastic Salvo Model for Naval Surface Combat," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 53(5), pages 830-841, October.
    6. Wayne P. Hughes, 1995. "A salvo model of warships in missile combat used to evaluate their staying power," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(2), pages 267-289, March.
    7. Amacher, M. & Mandallaz, D., 1986. "Stochastic versions of Lanchester equations in wargaming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 41-45, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Young-Jun Jee & Tae-Gyung Lee & Sang-Ho Park & Jun-Ho Cho & Hee-Soo Kim & Tae-Eog Lee, 2022. "A multiresolution simulation system and simulation development processes," The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, , vol. 19(3), pages 325-338, July.
    2. Gerardo Minguela-Castro & Ruben Heradio & Carlos Cerrada, 2021. "Automated Support for Battle Operational–Strategic Decision-Making," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(13), pages 1-15, June.
    3. Moshe Kress, 2020. "Lanchester Models for Irregular Warfare," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-14, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Michael J. Armstrong, 2014. "Modeling Short-Range Ballistic Missile Defense and Israel's Iron Dome System," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 62(5), pages 1028-1039, October.
    2. Michael J. Armstrong, 2007. "Effective attacks in the salvo combat model: Salvo sizes and quantities of targets," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(1), pages 66-77, February.
    3. Michael J. Armstrong, 2013. "The salvo combat model with area fire," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 60(8), pages 652-660, December.
    4. Chad W. Seagren & Donald P. Gaver & Patricia A. Jacobs, 2019. "A stochastic air combat logistics decision model for Blue versus Red opposition," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 66(8), pages 663-674, December.
    5. Anelí Bongers & José L. Torres, 2017. "Revisiting the Battle of Midway: A counterfactual analysis," Working Papers 2017-01, Universidad de Málaga, Department of Economic Theory, Málaga Economic Theory Research Center.
    6. P.S. Sheeba & Debasish Ghose, 2008. "Optimal resource allocation and redistribution strategy in military conflicts with Lanchester square law attrition," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(6), pages 581-591, September.
    7. Anelí Bongers & José L. Torres, 2021. "A bottleneck combat model: an application to the Battle of Thermopylae," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 2859-2877, December.
    8. Kangaspunta, Jussi & Liesiö, Juuso & Salo, Ahti, 2012. "Cost-efficiency analysis of weapon system portfolios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 264-275.
    9. Michael Armstrong, 2011. "A verification study of the stochastic salvo combat model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 186(1), pages 23-38, June.
    10. N. Cangiotti & M. Capolli & M. Sensi, 2023. "A generalization of unaimed fire Lanchester’s model in multi-battle warfare," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 1-19, June.
    11. Chen Wang & Vicki M. Bier, 2016. "Quantifying Adversary Capabilities to Inform Defensive Resource Allocation," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(4), pages 756-775, April.
    12. Younglak Shim & Michael P. Atkinson, 2018. "Analysis of artillery shoot‐and‐scoot tactics," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 65(3), pages 242-274, April.
    13. C-Y Hung & G K Yang & P S Deng & T Tang & S-P Lan & P Chu, 2005. "Fitting Lanchester's square law to the Ardennes Campaign," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(8), pages 942-946, August.
    14. Cullen, Andrew C. & Alpcan, Tansu & Kalloniatis, Alexander C., 2022. "Adversarial decisions on complex dynamical systems using game theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 594(C).
    15. Gerardo Minguela-Castro & Ruben Heradio & Carlos Cerrada, 2021. "Automated Support for Battle Operational–Strategic Decision-Making," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(13), pages 1-15, June.
    16. Kolebaje, Olusola & Popoola, Oyebola & Khan, Muhammad Altaf & Oyewande, Oluwole, 2020. "An epidemiological approach to insurgent population modeling with the Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    17. Pettit, L. I. & Wiper, M. P. & Young, K. D. S., 2003. "Bayesian inference for some Lanchester combat laws," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 148(1), pages 152-165, July.
    18. González, Eduardo & Villena, Marcelo, 2011. "Spatial Lanchester models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 210(3), pages 706-715, May.
    19. Chen, Hsi-Mei, 2007. "A non-linear inverse Lanchester square law problem in estimating the force-dependent attrition coefficients," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(2), pages 911-922, October.
    20. Hans Liwång, 2020. "The interconnectedness between efforts to reduce the risk related to accidents and attacks - naval examples," Journal of Transportation Security, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 245-272, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:68:y:2017:i:11:d:10.1057_s41274-016-0163-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.palgrave-journals.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.