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Investment in new foreign subsidiaries under receding perception of uncertainty

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  • Jan Hendrik Fisch

    (Lehrstuhl fuer Technologie- und Innovationsmanagement, Zeppelin University, Friedrichshafen, Germany)

Abstract

Research on foreign direct investment has focused considerable attention on the moment of market entry, but less on the dynamics of investment in the post-entry phase. This paper centres the influence of uncertainty on investment, and develops a growth options model to explain the sequence of investment in new foreign subsidiaries. In a learning process that starts at entry, investors perceive receding levels of uncertainty and shift their reason for investment from option values towards net present values. The findings of a panel study of 634 German subsidiaries support the propositions and reveal the potential of the real options approach to improve the understanding of internationalisation processes. Journal of International Business Studies (2008) 39, 370–386. doi:10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8400362

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Hendrik Fisch, 2008. "Investment in new foreign subsidiaries under receding perception of uncertainty," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 39(3), pages 370-386, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:jintbs:v:39:y:2008:i:3:p:370-386
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ipsmiller, Edith & Brouthers, Keith D. & Dikova, Desislava, 2021. "Which export channels provide real options to SMEs?," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(6).
    2. Song, Sangcheol, 2023. "Portfolio ownership, production shifts, and downside risks: Evidence from Korea," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 155(PA).
    3. Song, Sangcheol, 2021. "Do in-network ties help in lowering subsidiary divestment rates under environmental challenges?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 257-265.
    4. Han Smit & Enrico Pennings & Sjoerd Bekkum, 2017. "Real options and institutions," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 48(5), pages 620-644, July.
    5. Xiaodan Wang, 2016. "The Performance of Foreign Venture Capital Firms in Emerging Economies: A Study of U.S. Firms in China," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(11), pages 1-26, October.
    6. Tailan Chi & Jing Li & Lenos G Trigeorgis & Andrianos E Tsekrekos, 2019. "Real options theory in international business," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 50(4), pages 525-553, June.
    7. Song, Sangcheol & Lee, Seung-Hyun & Makhija, Mona, 2015. "Operational hedging in foreign direct investments under volatile and divergent exchange rates across countries," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 548-557.
    8. Song, Sangcheol, 2020. "Actualization of growth potential in international joint ventures: The moderating effects of localization strategies," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 55(2).
    9. Feng Xu & Xin (Robert) Luo & Hongyun Zhang & Shan Liu & Wei (Wayne) Huang, 2019. "Do Strategy and Timing in IT Security Investments Matter? An Empirical Investigation of the Alignment Effect," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 21(5), pages 1069-1083, October.
    10. Sangcheol Song, 2017. "Ownership Increase in International Joint Ventures: The Within- and Across-Country Flexibility Perspective," Management International Review, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 93-120, February.
    11. Jan Hendrik, Fisch, 2011. "Real call options to enlarge foreign subsidiaries - The moderating effect of irreversibility on the influence of economic volatility and political instability on subsequent FDI," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 517-526, October.
    12. Suma Athreye & Georgios Batsakis & Satwinder Singh, 2013. "Subsidiary Embeddedness is a Strategic Choice: Complementarity and the factors associated with different types of embeddedness," DRUID Working Papers 13-05, DRUID, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Industrial Economics and Strategy/Aalborg University, Department of Business Studies.
    13. Wooster, Rossitza B. & Blanco, Luisa & Sawyer, W. Charles, 2016. "Equity commitment under uncertainty: A hierarchical model of real option entry mode choices," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 382-394.
    14. Lukas, Elmar, 2013. "Modeling the transitional dynamics of international joint venture policies: An option pricing approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 21-36.
    15. Danchi Tan & Weichieh Su & Joseph T. Mahoney & Yasemin Kor, 2020. "A review of research on the growth of multinational enterprises: A Penrosean lens," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 51(4), pages 498-537, June.
    16. Sangcheol Song, 2013. "FDI Structure, Investment Specificity, and Multinationality Value under Host Market Uncertainty," Management International Review, Springer, vol. 53(6), pages 795-817, December.
    17. Song, Sangcheol, 2022. "Determining investment size and local embeddedness under host market uncertainty and growth rates," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(2).
    18. Sears, Joshua B., 2019. "A real options model of market entry: Endogenous uncertainty and exogenous uncertainty," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 1-1.
    19. Niittymies, Aleksi & Pajunen, Kalle, 2020. "Cognitive foundations of firm internationalization: A systematic review and agenda for future research," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 29(4).
    20. Kuo, Anthony & Kao, Ming-Sung & Chang, Yi-Chieh & Chiu, Chih-Fang, 2012. "The influence of international experience on entry mode choice: Difference between family and non-family firms," European Management Journal, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 248-263.

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