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What Explains the Rapid Growth in Transition Economies?

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  • Garbis Iradian

Abstract

This paper analytically explores and empirically tests a number of hypotheses to explain the rapid growth in transition economies. Using the latest panel data, the paper finds that growth in transition economies has been higher because of the recovery of lost output, progress in market reforms, and favorable external conditions. These results are consistent with estimates from the global sample that includes 123 countries, and are robust to instrumental variable estimations and other robustness tests. A general implication of the findings is that some of the factors behind the rapid growth are unlikely to continue for a very long time and that the challenge would be to further improve the investment climate, which will require broadening the scope of macroeconomic reform into a second generation of reforms encompassing structural and institutional areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Garbis Iradian, 2009. "What Explains the Rapid Growth in Transition Economies?," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 56(4), pages 811-851, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfstp:v:56:y:2009:i:4:p:811-851
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    Cited by:

    1. Iwasaki, Ichiro & Kumo, Kazuhiro, 2016. "Decline and Growth in Transition Economies: A Meta-Analysis," CEI Working Paper Series 2016-9, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    2. Huang, Hongyun & Wang, Fengrong & Song, Malin & Balezentis, Tomas & Streimikiene, Dalia, 2021. "Green innovations for sustainable development of China: Analysis based on the nested spatial panel models," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Jan Babecky & Tomas Havranek, 2013. "Structural Reforms and Growth in Transition: A Meta-Analysis," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp1057, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    4. Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Havettová, Miroslava & Lábaj, Martin, 2013. "Income convergence prospects in Europe: Assessing the role of human capital dynamics," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 493-507.
    5. Arize, Augustine C. & Malindretos, John & Ghosh, Dilip, 2015. "Purchasing power parity-symmetry and proportionality: Evidence from 116 countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 69-85.
    6. Yağmur Sağlam & Hüseyin Avni Egeli, 2018. "A Comparison of Domestic Demand and Export-led Growth Strategies for European Transition Economies," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 53(3), pages 156-173, August.
    7. Tingying Chen & Haitian Lu & Rong Chen & Lina Wu, 2021. "The Impact of Marketization on Sustainable Economic Growth—Evidence from West China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-24, March.
    8. Zsolt DARVAS, 2010. "Beyond the Crisis: Prospects for Transition Economies," EcoMod2010 259600042, EcoMod.
    9. Yang Qi & Mingyue Gao & Haoyu Wang & Huijie Ding & Jianxu Liu & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2023. "Does Marketization Promote High-Quality Agricultural Development in China?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-28, June.
    10. Radmila Dragutinović Mitrović & Olgica Ivančev, 2010. "Driving Forces Of Economic Growth In The Second Decade Of Transition," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 55(185), pages 7-32, April - J.
    11. Josip Tica & Viktor Viljevac, 2020. "Thirty Years After: Economic Growth in Transition Countries," EFZG Working Papers Series 2005, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
    12. Khaled Elmawazini & Elias G. Saleeby & Ahmed Ibn el Farouk & Bashayer AL-Naser, 2018. "Tripartite decomposition of labor productivity growth, FDI and human development: evidence from transition economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 153-171, May.

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