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Self-Fulfilling Fire Sales: Fragility of Collateralized Short-Term Debt Markets

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  • John Chi-Fong Kuong

Abstract

This paper shows that collateralized short-term debt, although privately optimal for reducing borrowers’ risk-taking incentives, can induce fragility (multiple equilibria). Despite sequential-service property being absent in collateralized debt, such as repurchase agreements, a systemic run can arise, featuring large increases in default risks, fire-sale discounts of collateral, cost of credit, and amount of credit rationing. Asset price guarantees, leverage caps, and central clearing promote stability and welfare. Using global games techniques, I show that a systemic run is more likely in bad times, and a large enough asset price guarantee reduces run risks.

Suggested Citation

  • John Chi-Fong Kuong, 2021. "Self-Fulfilling Fire Sales: Fragility of Collateralized Short-Term Debt Markets," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(6), pages 2910-2948.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:34:y:2021:i:6:p:2910-2948.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhaa115
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Glebkin, Sergei & Kuong, John Chi-Fong, 2023. "When large traders create noise," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2).
    2. Vuillemey, Guillaume, 2023. "Mitigating fire sales with a central clearing counterparty," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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