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Do Behavioral Biases Adversely Affect the Macro-economy?

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  • George M. Korniotis
  • Alok Kumar

Abstract

We investigate whether the adverse effects of investors' behavioral biases extend beyond the domain of financial markets to the broad macro-economy. Focusing on the income risk-sharing role of financial markets, we find that risk sharing is higher (more than double) in U.S. states where investors are more sophisticated and exhibit weaker behavioral biases. The potential for risk sharing varies geographically, but states with better risk-sharing opportunities are able to achieve higher levels of risk sharing only when investors in those states are more sophisticated. Collectively, these results indicate that investors' aggregate behavioral biases and their lack of financial sophistication adversely affect the local macro-economy. The Author 2011. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • George M. Korniotis & Alok Kumar, 2011. "Do Behavioral Biases Adversely Affect the Macro-economy?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(5), pages 1513-1559.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:24:y:2011:i:5:p:1513-1559
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhq110
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacobs, Kris & Pallage, Stéphane & Robe, Michel A., 2013. "Market incompleteness and the equity premium puzzle: Evidence from state-level data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 378-388.
    2. Lee, Suin & Pantzalis, Christos & Park, Jung Chul, 2019. "Does local culture trigger speculative investment behavior?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 71-88.
    3. Lorenzo Esposito & Lorenzo Marrese, 2021. "The impact of cognitive skills on investment decisions. An empirical assessment and policy suggestions," DISCE - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Politica Economica dipe0019, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    4. Amos Nadler & Peiran Jiao & Cameron J. Johnson & Veronika Alexander & Paul J. Zak, 2019. "The Bull of Wall Street: Experimental Analysis of Testosterone and Asset Trading," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(9), pages 4032-4051, September.
    5. Maiko Koga & Haruko Kato, 2017. "Behavioral Biases in Firms' Growth Expectations," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 17-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    6. Yong Bian & Xiqian Wang & Qin Zhang, 2023. "How Does China's Household Portfolio Selection Vary with Financial Inclusion?," Papers 2311.01206, arXiv.org.
    7. Hoffmann, Arvid O.I. & Post, Thomas & Pennings, Joost M.E., 2013. "Individual investor perceptions and behavior during the financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 60-74.
    8. Yun Ye & Yongjian Pu & Ailun Xiong, 2022. "The impact of digital finance on household participation in risky financial markets: Evidence-based study from China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(4), pages 1-16, April.
    9. Shu Lin & Shu Tian & Eliza Wu, 2013. "Emerging Stars and Developed Neighbors: The Effects of Development Imbalance and Political Shocks on Mutual Fund Investments in China," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 42(2), pages 339-371, June.
    10. George M. Korniotis & Alok Kumar & Jeremy K. Page, 2020. "Investor sophistication and asset prices," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 557-579, October.
    11. Vidhi Chhaochharia & George M. Korniotis & Alok Kumar, 2020. "Prozac for depressed states? Effect of mood on local economic recessions," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(2), pages 245-274, April.
    12. Dierkes, Maik & Germer, Stephan & Sejdiu, Vulnet, 2020. "Probability distortion, asset prices, and economic growth," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    13. Michael Nwogugu, 2020. "Regret Theory And Asset Pricing Anomalies In Incomplete Markets With Dynamic Un-Aggregated Preferences," Papers 2005.01709, arXiv.org.
    14. Xiaomeng Lu & Jiaojiao Guo & Hailing Zhou, 2021. "Digital financial inclusion development, investment diversification, and household extreme portfolio risk," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(5), pages 6225-6261, December.

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