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It Hurts (Stock Prices) When Your Team is about to Lose a Soccer Match

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  • Michael Ehrmann
  • David-Jan Jansen

Abstract

The end result of major sporting events has been shown to affect next day stock returns through shifts in investor mood. By studying intraday data during the soccer matches that led to the elimination of France and Italy from the 2010 FIFA World Cup, we test whether mood-related pricing effects already materialize as events unfold. We use data for a cross-listed firm, which allows for a straightforward identification of underpricing. During the matches, the firm’s stock is underpriced by up to 7 basis points in the country that eventually loses. The probability of underpricing increases as elimination becomes more likely.

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  • Michael Ehrmann & David-Jan Jansen, 2016. "It Hurts (Stock Prices) When Your Team is about to Lose a Soccer Match," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 20(3), pages 1215-1233.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:revfin:v:20:y:2016:i:3:p:1215-1233.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fjesme, Sturla Lyngnes & Lv, Jin Roc & Shekhar, Chander, 2023. "The world cup in football and the US IPO market," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. Saggu, Aman & Ante, Lennart & Demir, Ender, 2024. "Anticipatory gains and event-driven losses in blockchain-based fan tokens: Evidence from the FIFA World Cup," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    3. Ehrmann, Michael & Jansen, David-Jan, 2022. "Stock return comovement when investors are distracted: More, and more homogeneous," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    4. Andrea Schertler & Jarmo Beurden, 2023. "How relative competitive strength moderates stock price responses after European soccer tournaments," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 93(8), pages 1385-1414, October.
    5. Wang, Jianxin, 2022. "Market distraction and near-zero daily volatility persistence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Lennart Ante & Benjamin Schellinger & Ender Demir, 2024. "The impact of football games and sporting performance on intra-day fan token returns," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 94(5), pages 813-850, July.
    7. Steffen Hundt & Andreas Horsch, 2019. "Sponsorship of the FIFA world cup, shareholder wealth, and the impact of corruption," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(23), pages 2468-2491, May.
    8. Michael Ehrmann & David‐Jan Jansen, 2017. "The Pitch Rather Than the Pit: Investor Inattention, Trading Activity, and FIFA World Cup Matches," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(4), pages 807-821, June.
    9. Cornaggia, Kimberly & Hund, John & Nguyen, Giang, 2022. "Investor attention and municipal bond returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    10. Jerome Geyer-Klingeberg & Markus Hang & Matthias Walter & Andreas Rathgeber, 2018. "Do stock markets react to soccer games? A meta-regression analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(19), pages 2171-2189, April.
    11. Carlos Viana de Carvalho & Eduardo Zilberman & Ruy Ribeiro, "undated". "Sentiment, Electoral Uncertainty and Stock Returns," Textos para discussão 655, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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