IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/oup/revage/v21y1999i1p99-111..html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Value-at-Risk Analysis: A Review and the Potential for Agricultural Applications

Author

Listed:
  • Mark R. Manfredo
  • Raymond M. Leuthold

Abstract

Value-at-risk (VaR) determines the probability of a portfolio of assets losing a certain amount in a given period at a particular level of confidence. Value-at-risk is receiving considerable attention in the finance literature for its use in reporting the risks of derivatives. This article provides a state-of-the-art review of VaR estimation techniques and empirical findings. The ability of VaR estimates to represent large losses varies among procedure, confidence levels, and data used. To date no consensus exists regarding the most appropriate estimation technique. Potential applications of VaR are suggested in the context of agricultural risk management.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark R. Manfredo & Raymond M. Leuthold, 1999. "Value-at-Risk Analysis: A Review and the Potential for Agricultural Applications," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 21(1), pages 99-111.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:revage:v:21:y:1999:i:1:p:99-111.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1349974
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Calatrava-Requena, Javier & Garrido, Alberto, 2003. "The Effects Of Spot Water Markets On The Economic Risk Derived From Variable Water Supply," 2003 Annual Meeting, August 16-22, 2003, Durban, South Africa 25885, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Wallace, Garry E. & Samsul Huda, A.K., 2005. "Using climate information to approximate the value at risk of a forward contracted canola crop," AFBM Journal, Australasian Farm Business Management Network, vol. 2(1), pages 1-9.
    3. Mark R. Manfredo. & Raymond M. Leuthold, 1999. "Market Risk Measurement and the Cattle Feeding Margin: An Application of Value-at-Risk," Finance 9908002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Vedenov, Dmitry V. & Barnett, Barry J., 2004. "Efficiency of Weather Derivatives as Primary Crop Insurance Instruments," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(3), pages 1-17, December.
    5. Berg, Ernst & Schmitz, Bernhard, 2007. "Weather-based instruments in the context of whole farm risk management," 101st Seminar, July 5-6, 2007, Berlin Germany 9269, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Franco Rosa & Mario Taverna & Federico Nassivera & Luca Iseppi, 2019. "Farm/crop portfolio simulations under variable risk: a case study from Italy," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, December.
    7. Al Janabi, Mazin A.M., 2012. "Optimal commodity asset allocation with a coherent market risk modeling," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 131-140.
    8. Baker, Timothy G. & Gloy, Brent A., 2000. "A Comparison Of Criteria For Evaluating Risk Management Strategies," 2000 Annual meeting, July 30-August 2, Tampa, FL 21726, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. May, Gary J. & Lawrence, John D., 2002. "A Decision Model To Assess Cattle Feeding Price Risk," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19067, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    10. Féménia, Fabienne & Gohin, Alexandre, 2010. "Faut-il une intervention publique pour stabiliser les marchés agricoles ? Revue des questions non résolues," Review of Agricultural and Environmental Studies - Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement (RAEStud), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), vol. 91(4).
    11. Berg, Ernst & Starp, Michael, 2006. "Farm Level Risk Assessment Using Downside Risk Measures," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25400, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    12. Wauters, Erwin & De Cock, Lieve & Wit, Jan de & Lauwers, Ludwig H., 2011. "The foregone risk premium: a communicative and practical method for the evaluation of risk-return profiles in agriculture," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 115737, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Josefa López-Marín & Miriam Romero & Amparo Gálvez & Francisco Moisés del Amor & Maria Carmen Piñero & José Manuel Brotons-Martínez, 2021. "The Use of Hydromulching as an Alternative to Plastic Films in an Artichoke ( Cynara cardunculus cv. Symphony) Crop: A Study of the Economic Viability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-17, May.
    14. Lin, Shanshan & Mullen, Jeffrey D. & Hoogenboom, Gerrit, 2009. "Spatial and Temporal On-Farm Risk Management - Crop Production Scheduling and Index Insurance Strategies," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49350, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Lien, Gudbrand & Brian Hardaker, J. & Flaten, Ola, 2007. "Risk and economic sustainability of crop farming systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 541-552, May.
    16. Peter J. Barry & Bruce J. Sherrick & Jianmei Zhao, 2009. "Integration of VaR and expected utility under departures from normality," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 40(6), pages 691-699, November.
    17. Josefa López-Marín & Amparo Gálvez & Francisco M. del Amor & Jose M. Brotons, 2020. "The Financial Valuation Risk in Pepper Production: The Use of Decoupled Net Present Value," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-19, December.
    18. Belhajjam, A. & Belbachir, M. & El Ouardirhi, S., 2017. "Robust multivairiate extreme value at risk allocation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 1-11.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oup:revage:v:21:y:1999:i:1:p:99-111.. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Oxford University Press or Christopher F. Baum (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.