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Homicides in Mexico and the expiration of the U.S. federal assault weapons ban: a difference-in-discontinuities approach

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  • Luke E. Chicoine

Abstract

The year following the expiration of the U.S. Assault Weapons Ban (AWB), the homicide rate in Mexico increased for the first time in a decade. A difference-in-discontinuities model and a unique dataset are used to compare discontinuities generated by close mayoral elections on either side of the AWB expiration. The model finds a statistically significant increase in the firearm homicide rate following the expiration of the AWB. This effect is larger closer to the U.S.–Mexico border, is isolated to the timing of the expiration, and there is no evidence of a concurrent increase in non-firearm homicides or other violent crime.

Suggested Citation

  • Luke E. Chicoine, 2017. "Homicides in Mexico and the expiration of the U.S. federal assault weapons ban: a difference-in-discontinuities approach," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(4), pages 825-856.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:jecgeo:v:17:y:2017:i:4:p:825-856.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jeg/lbw031
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Koenig & David Schindler, 2023. "Impulse Purchases, Gun Ownership, and Homicides: Evidence from a Firearm Demand Shock," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(5), pages 1271-1286, September.
    2. Koenig, Christoph & Schindler, David, 2018. "Impulse Purchases, Gun Ownership and Homicides : Evidence from a Firearm Demand Shock," Discussion Paper 2018-043, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    3. Christoph Koenig & David Schindler, 2018. "Dynamics in Gun Ownership and Crime - Evidence from the Aftermath of Sandy Hook," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 18/694, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
    4. Mitre-Becerril, David & MacDonald, John M., 2024. "Does urban development influence crime? Evidence from Philadelphia’s new zoning regulations," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    5. Cafferata, Fernando G. & Domínguez, Patricio & Scartascini, Carlos, 2023. "Overconfidence and Gun Preferences: How Behavioral Biases Affect Your Safety," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12816, Inter-American Development Bank.
    6. Osuna Gómez Daniel, 2021. "The Impact of the Capture of Leaders of Criminal Organizations on the Labor Market: Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers 2021-19, Banco de México.
    7. Bansak, Kirk & Nowacki, Tobias, 2022. "Effect Heterogeneity and Causal Attribution in Regression Discontinuity Designs," SocArXiv vj34m, Center for Open Science.
    8. Giuseppe Albanese & Guglielmo Barone & Guido DeBlasio, 2021. "The impact of place-based policies on income distribution," Discussion Paper series in Regional Science & Economic Geography 2021-04, Gran Sasso Science Institute, Social Sciences, revised Mar 2021.
    9. Pedro Picchetti & Cristine C. X. Pinto & Stephanie T. Shinoki, 2024. "Difference-in-Discontinuities: Estimation, Inference and Validity Tests," Papers 2405.18531, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mexico; gun violence; homicides; assault weapons ban;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F52 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - National Security; Economic Nationalism
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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