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House Prices and Misallocation: The Impact of the Collateral Channel on Productivity

Author

Listed:
  • Elías Albagli
  • Mario Canales
  • Chad Syverson
  • Matías Tapia
  • Sergi Basco
  • David Lopez-Rodriguez
  • Enrique Moral-Benito

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of local house price booms on capital misallocation within industries. Using the geographical variation provided by the Spanish housing boom (2003–7), we show that firms exposed to positive local house price shocks received more bank credit and their investment grew more when they had a higher proportion of real estate assets. This collateral channel results in an increasing dispersion of the capital-labour ratio within industries. A counterfactual calculation suggests that the capital misallocation generated by this channel can account for around 40% of the total factor productivity decline experienced by the Spanish economy during the housing boom.

Suggested Citation

  • Elías Albagli & Mario Canales & Chad Syverson & Matías Tapia & Sergi Basco & David Lopez-Rodriguez & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2025. "House Prices and Misallocation: The Impact of the Collateral Channel on Productivity," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 135(665), pages 1-35.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:econjl:v:135:y:2025:i:665:p:1-35.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tang, John P. & Basco, Sergi, 2023. "Banks, credit supply, and the life cycle of firms: Evidence from late nineteenth century Japan," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    2. Yagüe Gurucharri, Miguel & García-Hiernaux, Alfredo & Jerez, Miguel, 1974. "Rethinking Basel III and beyond: a theory model to understand credit allocation and real state bubbles," MPRA Paper 119559, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 Dec 2023.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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