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Increasing returns to scale, technological catch-up and research intensity: endogenising the Verdoorn coefficient

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  • João P. Romerojpromero
  • Gustavo Britto

Abstract

This paper examines the importance of output growth and research intensity for productivity growth. Two hypotheses are tested. First, the paper investigates the impact of the two variables on productivity growth when simultaneously considered, assessing whether the basic Kaldorian and Schumpeterian models can be combined. Second, it examines whether research intensity impacts on the magnitude of returns to scale, assessing if countries with higher research intensity benefit from higher returns to scale. The tests reported in the paper provide strong evidence of the importance of demand growth for productivity growth, and on the existence of increasing returns to scale in manufacturing, while also recognizing the relevance of research intensity for productivity growth. Most importantly, the test results suggest that research intensity has a more relevant impact on the magnitude of returns to scale than on productivity growth directly.

Suggested Citation

  • João P. Romerojpromero & Gustavo Britto, 2017. "Increasing returns to scale, technological catch-up and research intensity: endogenising the Verdoorn coefficient," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 41(2), pages 391-412.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:cambje:v:41:y:2017:i:2:p:391-412.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/cje/bew030
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Adrián Rial & Rafael Fernández, 2023. "Does tertiarisation slow down productivity growth? A Kaldorian–Baumolian analysis across 10 developed economies," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(1), pages 188-222, February.
    2. Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J. & Sordi, Serena, 2020. "Structural change in a growing open economy: Attitudes and institutions in Latin America and Asia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 358-385.
    3. Danilo Spinola, 2021. "The La Marca model revisited: Structuralist goodwin cycles with evolutionary supply side and balance of payments constraints," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(1), pages 189-212, February.
    4. Delphin Kamanda Espoir & Nicholas Ngepah, 2021. "Income distribution and total factor productivity: a cross-country panel cointegration analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 661-698, October.
    5. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández, 2018. "Alternative Approaches to Technological Change when Growth is BoPC," Department of Economics University of Siena 795, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    6. Jose Luis Oreiro & Kalinka Martins da Silva, 2022. "Structuralist Development Macroeconomics and New Developmentalism: Theoretical Foundations and Recent Developments," Working Papers PKWP2204, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    7. Oreiro, José L. & da Silva, Kalinka M. & Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J., 2020. "A New Developmentalist model of structural change, economic growth and middle-income traps," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 26-38.
    8. Ciaffi, Giovanna & Deleidi, Matteo & Di Bucchianico, Stefano, 2024. "Stagnation despite ongoing innovation: Is R&D expenditure composition a missing link? An empirical analysis for the US (1948–2019)," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    9. Dávila-Fernández, Marwil & Oreiro, José, 2021. "A song of ice and fire: Competitiveness in an export-led growing economy," MPRA Paper 109821, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. João Prates Romero, 2018. "A Kaldor-Schumpeter Model Of Cumulative Growth: Combining Increasing Returns And Non-Price Competitiveness With Technological Catch-Up And Research Intensity," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 75, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    11. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Serena Sordi & Alessia Cafferata, 2024. "How do you feel about going green? Modelling environmental sentiments in a growing open economy," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 19(4), pages 649-687, October.
    12. Cafferata, Alessia & Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J. & Sordi, Serena, 2021. "Seeing what can(not) be seen: Confirmation bias, employment dynamics and climate change," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 567-586.
    13. Musa Esuwa Shingil & Huseyin Ozdeser & Andisheh Saliminezhad, 2022. "Investigation of Balance of Payment Constrained Growth Model: The Impact of Export Growth, Capital Flows, and Real Effective Exchange Rate on Growth of the UK," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
    14. Robert A. Blecker, 2022. "New advances and controversies in the framework of balance‐of‐payments‐constrained growth," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 429-467, April.
    15. Herrero, Daniel & Rial, Adrián, 2023. "Labor costs, KIBS, and export performance: A comparative analysis of Germany and Mediterranean economies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 184-198.
    16. Stefan Ederer & Stefan Schiman, 2018. "Effekte der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Produktion auf die Entwicklung der Produktivität in Österreich und der EU," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 44(1), pages 17-43.
    17. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Serena Sordi, 2019. "From open economies to attitudes towards change. Growth and institutions in Latin America and Asia," Department of Economics University of Siena 809, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    18. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández, 2020. "Alternative approaches to technological change in a small open economy," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 279-317, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Increasing returns; Productivity growth; Research intensity; Technological catch-up; Kaldor-Verdoorn’s Law;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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