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An Astructural Analysis of National Forest Policy and Employment

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  • Diana M. Burton

Abstract

Linkages between sector-specific policy and sector employment are explored using a nonstationary Markov chain analysis. When parameterization of transition probabilities between employment sectors includes policy variables, hypothesis tests can determine policy impact relative to other variables. This astructural approach eliminates bias inherent in structural models. Application of this technique to Oregon's forestry sector and national forest policy demonstrates that macroeconomic forces have statistically important effects on employment while national forest policy, measured as timber sold or timber cut, does not. This result raises questions about forest policy impact analysis and assumptions inherent in national forest policy implementation. Copyright 1997, Oxford University Press.

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  • Diana M. Burton, 1997. "An Astructural Analysis of National Forest Policy and Employment," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(3), pages 964-974.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:79:y:1997:i:3:p:964-974
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1244436
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    Cited by:

    1. Hyde, William F. & Olmos, Virginia Morales & Robalino, Juan & da Gama e Silva, Zenobio Abel Gouvêa Perelli & Susaeta, Andres & Yin, Runsheng, 2022. "Latin America: A regional perspective on its forest policy and economics," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    2. Eichman, Henry & Hunt, Gary L. & Kerkvliet, Joe & Plantinga, Andrew J., 2010. "Local Employment Growth, Migration, and Public Land Policy: Evidence from the Northwest Forest Plan," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 35(2), pages 1-18, August.
    3. David J. Lewis & Gary L. Hunt & DAndrew J. Plantinga, 2002. "Public Conservation Land and Employment Growth in the Northern Forest Region," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 78(2), pages 245-259.
    4. Diana M. Burton & Irma A. Gomez & H. Alan Love, 2011. "Environmental Regulation Cost and Industry Structure Changes," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 87(3), pages 545-557.
    5. Ohlan, Ramphul, 2014. "Competitiveness and Trade Performance of India’s Dairy Industry," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Development, Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA), vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, December.
    6. Hunt, Gary L. & Kerkvliet, Joe & Plantinga, Andrew J., 2004. "The Economic Consequences Of Reserving Federal Land For Biodiversity Protection In The U.S. Pacific Northwest," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20288, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Gomez, Irma A. & Love, H. Alan & Burton, Diana M., 1998. "Analysis Of The Effects Of Environmental Regulation On Pulp And Paper Industry Structure," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20938, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

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