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Investment Potential of Agricultural Futures Contracts

Author

Listed:
  • T. Randall Fortenbery
  • Robert J. Hauser

Abstract

Investment benefits from trading live cattle, hog, corn, and soybean futures contracts are considered under the assumption that the investor's risk/return evaluation is relative to a highly diversified stock portfolio. A mean-variance approach is used to find the “optimal” mix of investments for the initial stock portfolio and for portfolios which may include both stocks and futures. The addition of futures contracts to the portfolio rarely increases the portfolio return. This finding is consistent with risk-premium results of previous studies. However, investment benefits from agricultural futures are found in the form of a reduction in the portfolio's nonsystematic risk.

Suggested Citation

  • T. Randall Fortenbery & Robert J. Hauser, 1990. "Investment Potential of Agricultural Futures Contracts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(3), pages 721-726.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:72:y:1990:i:3:p:721-726.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1243042
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carol Alexander & Dimitris Korovilas, 2011. "The Hazards of Volatility Diversification," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2011-04, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    2. Ahmed, Shamim & Tsvetanov, Daniel, 2016. "The predictive performance of commodity futures risk factors," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 20-36.
    3. Charoula Daskalaki, 2021. "New evidence on commodity stocks," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 811-874, June.
    4. Daskalaki, Charoula & Skiadopoulos, George & Topaloglou, Nikolas, 2017. "Diversification benefits of commodities: A stochastic dominance efficiency approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 250-269.
    5. Yan, Lei & Garcia, Philip, 2017. "Portfolio investment: Are commodities useful?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 43-55.
    6. Rad, Hossein & Low, Rand Kwong Yew & Miffre, Joëlle & Faff, Robert, 2022. "The strategic allocation to style-integrated portfolios of commodity futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    7. Naqvi, Bushra & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Hasnaoui, Amir & Shao, Xuefeng, 2022. "Going beyond sustainability: The diversification benefits of green energy financial products," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    8. Cao, A.N.Q. & Grosche, S.-C., 2018. "Financial and Commodity-specific expectations in soybean futures markets," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277538, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. M.A. Lagesh & Mohammed Kasim C. & Sunil Paul, 2014. "Commodity Futures Indices and Traditional Asset Markets in India: DCC Evidence for Portfolio Diversification Benefits," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 15(4), pages 777-793, December.
    10. Daskalaki, Charoula & Skiadopoulos, George & Topaloglou, Nikolas, 2017. "Diversification benefits of commodities: A stochastic dominance efficiency approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 250-269.
    11. Egelkraut, Thorsten M. & Woodard, Joshua D. & Garcia, Philip & Pennings, Joost M.E., 2005. "Portfolio Diversification with Commodity Futures: Properties of Levered Futures," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19047, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    12. Michael Graham & Jarno Kiviaho & Jussi Nikkinen, 2013. "Short-term and long-term dependencies of the S&P 500 index and commodity prices," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(4), pages 583-592, March.
    13. Grosche, Stephanie & Heckelei, Thomas, 2014. "Directional Volatility Spillovers between Agricultural, Crude Oil, Real Estate and other Financial Markets," Discussion Papers 166079, University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics.
    14. Bessler, Wolfgang & Wolff, Dominik, 2015. "Do commodities add value in multi-asset portfolios? An out-of-sample analysis for different investment strategies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-20.
    15. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Naveed Raza & Aneese Hayat Awan, 2014. "Commodities and Stock Investment," SAGE Open, , vol. 4(3), pages 21582440145, September.
    16. Daskalaki, Charoula & Skiadopoulos, George, 2011. "Should investors include commodities in their portfolios after all? New evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 2606-2626, October.
    17. Gagnon, Marie-Hélène & Manseau, Guillaume & Power, Gabriel J., 2020. "They're back! Post-financialization diversification benefits of commodities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    18. Ruano, Fábio & Barros, Victor, 2022. "Commodities and portfolio diversification: Myth or fact?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 281-295.

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