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Migration intentions in CESEE – a descriptive analysis

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  • Anna Katharina Raggl

    (Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Foreign Research Division)

Abstract

Against the background of high emigration from Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) in the past few decades, we study the current migration intentions of individuals in ten CESEE countries using individual-level data from the 2014 wave of the OeNB Euro Survey. Apart from the overall share of people that intend to leave their home countries, we identify the gender, age and education profiles of these prospective migrants. Using population pyramids for visualization, we compare the current population structure with a hypothetical one that would arise if all people planning to emigrate would in fact do so. We find that, on average, 11.4% of individuals aged 25 to 39 intend to leave their CESEE home countries, a share that represents a lower-bound estimate. Migration intentions vary considerably across countries; in general, they appear to be more common among men and among individuals with a relatively low level of education.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Katharina Raggl, 2017. "Migration intentions in CESEE – a descriptive analysis," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/17, pages 52-69.
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbfi:y:2017:i:q4/17:b:1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anna Katharina Raggl, 2019. "Migration intentions in CESEE: sociodemographic profiles of prospective emigrants and their motives for moving," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/19, pages 49-67.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    migration intentions; population pyramids; CESEE;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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