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Relationship between Export, Imports and Economic Growth: An Export-led Growth Strategy for the Gambia Using The Granger Causality Test

Author

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  • Ebrima K. Ceesay
  • Christopher Belford
  • Momodou Mustapha Fanneh
  • Habibatou Drammeh

Abstract

The paper investigates the relationship between exports, imports and economic growth in the Gambia using Granger causality analysis. The data was obtained from the World Development Indicator (WDI) and the periods covered were 1980-2017. The main aim of the study was to identify the relationship between import, export and growth in the Gambia. We added the exchange rate to have more views of their relationship with growth. The method used was Granger-Causality tests. According to the results, there is a causal relationship between growth rate and imports and imports and growth rate (bidirectional relationship). Exports do not Granger cause growth. Based on the outcome of the causality test, change in economic growth does not help explain the changes in exports, but it does for the change in imports of The Gambia. Exchange rate Granger causes growth in the Gambia. These provide evidence that imports is a source of economic growth in The Gambia. Overall import and exchange rate have a positive effect on growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Ebrima K. Ceesay & Christopher Belford & Momodou Mustapha Fanneh & Habibatou Drammeh, 2019. "Relationship between Export, Imports and Economic Growth: An Export-led Growth Strategy for the Gambia Using The Granger Causality Test," International Journal of Social Sciences Perspectives, Online Academic Press, vol. 4(2), pages 38-47.
    • Handle: RePEc:oap:ijossp:v:4:y:2019:i:2:p:38-47:id:70
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Arian Tahiri & Faruk Ahmeti & Burim Prenaj, 2023. "The Effect of International Migrant Remittances on Employment Patterns: Evidence from Kosovo," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 126-142.
    2. Arvian Triantoro & Muhammad Zaheer Akhtar & Shiraz Khan & Khalid Zaman & Haroon ur Rashid Khan & Abdul Wahab Pathath & Muhamad Amar Mahmad & Kamil Sertoglu, 2023. "Riding the Waves of Fluctuating Oil Prices: Decoding the Impact on Economic Growth," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 34-50, March.
    3. Halil Kukaj & Artan Nimani, 2022. "The Causal Relationship Between Export, Import and Harmonized Consumer Price Index: Evidence from Kosovo," Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Richtmann Publishing Ltd, vol. 11, May.
    4. Cecilia Njeri Chege & Lenity Kananu Maugu & Miriam Thuo & Onesmus Mbaabu, 2024. "Effect of Recurrent Government Expenditure on Private Investment in Kenya," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(10), pages 2976-2988, October.
    5. Nur Aniera Alieana Mohamad Zani & Suhana Mohamed & Fatin Farazh Ya’acob, 2024. "The Decline of Malaysia’s Trade and GDP during Covid-19," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(11), pages 782-789, November.
    6. Ebrima K. Ceesay & Phillips C. Francis & Sama Jawneh & Matarr Njie & Christopher Belford & Momodou Mustapha Fanneh, 2021. "Climate change, growth in agriculture value-added, food availability and economic growth nexus in the Gambia: a Granger causality and ARDL modeling approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(7), pages 1-31, July.

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