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The Canterbury rebuild five years on from the Christchurch earthquake

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At 12:51pm on 22 February 2011, an earthquake of magnitude 6.3 occurred in Christchurch, causing widespread devastation and loss of life. It was the second major earthquake to affect Canterbury in six months, and was followed by thousands of aftershocks. Five years on, this article provides an update on how economic activity and prices in the Canterbury region have been affected, and the progress made to date in the rebuild. The damage to property in Canterbury was substantial; the total value of construction work to be completed over the period of the rebuild is estimated to be about $40 billion (in 2015 dollars). The Reserve Bank estimates that the rate of rebuild activity under way in Canterbury is around 1.5 percent of potential GDP per annum, and that the rebuild will extend beyond 2020. Christchurch has recovered its initial loss in population, boosted by the influx of workers for the rebuild. Construction sector activity has increased markedly over the past five years. Most other sectors appear resilient, with notable exceptions being tourism and education, where activity is down sharply.

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  • Amy Wood & Ilan Noy & Miles Parker, 2016. "The Canterbury rebuild five years on from the Christchurch earthquake," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 79, pages 1-16, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:nzb:nzbbul:feb2016:03
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    1. Rebecca Craigie & David Gillmore & Nicolas Groshenny, 2012. "Matching workers with jobs:how well is the New Zealand labour market doing?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 75, pages 3-12, December.
    2. Miles Parker & Daan Steenkamp, 2012. "The economic impact of the Canterbury earthquakes," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 75, pages 13-25, September.
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    1. Poontirakul, Porntida & Brown, Charlotte & Noy, Ilan & Seville, Erica & Vargo, John, 2016. "The role of commercial insurance in post-disaster recovery: Quantitative evidence from the 2011 Christchurch earthquake," Working Paper Series 19396, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    2. Poontirakul, Porntida & Brown, Charlotte & Noy, Ilan & Seville, Erica & Vargo, John, 2016. "The role of commercial insurance in post-disaster recovery: Quantitative evidence from the 2011 Christchurch earthquake," Working Paper Series 4980, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    3. Rebecca Williams, 2017. "Business cycle review: 2008 to present day," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80, pages 1-22, March.
    4. Hanna Habibi & Jan Feld, 2020. "The effects of earthquake exposure on preparedness in the short and long term: a difference-in-differences estimation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(2), pages 1443-1463, November.
    5. Miles Parker, 2018. "The Impact of Disasters on Inflation," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 21-48, April.
    6. Owen Sally & Noy Ilan & Pástor-Paz Jacob & Fleming David, 2021. "Measuring the Impact of Insurance on Recovery after Extreme Weather Events Using Nightlights," Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, De Gruyter, vol. 15(2), pages 169-199, July.
    7. Filippova, Olga & Noy, Ilan, 2018. "Preventing buildings from falling down: Challenges for earthquake-strengthening policy in small-town New Zealand," Working Paper Series 6961, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    8. Filippova, Olga & Noy, Ilan, 2018. "Preventing buildings from falling down: Challenges for earthquake-strengthening policy in small-town New Zealand," Working Paper Series 20317, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    9. Selene Perazzini, 2020. "Public-Private Partnership in the Management of Natural Disasters: A Review," Papers 2006.05845, arXiv.org.
    10. Tsui, Kan Wai Hong & Tan, David & Chow, Clement Kong Wing & Shi, Song, 2019. "Regional airline capacity, tourism demand and housing prices: A case study of New Zealand," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 8-22.
    11. Sin Meun How & Geoffrey N. Kerr, 2019. "Earthquake Impacts on Immigrant Participation in the Greater Christchurch Construction Labor Market," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 38(2), pages 241-269, April.
    12. Sally Owen & Ilan Noy & Jacob Pástor-Paz & David Fleming, 2019. "EQC and extreme weather events (part 2): Measuring the impact of insurance on New Zealand landslip, storm and flood recovery using nightlights," Working Papers 19_19, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    13. Hallegatte, Stéphane & Jooste, Charl & McIsaac, Florent, 2024. "Modeling the macroeconomic consequences of natural disasters: Capital stock, recovery dynamics, and monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    14. Sovacool, Benjamin K. & Tan-Mullins, May & Abrahamse, Wokje, 2018. "Bloated bodies and broken bricks: Power, ecology, and inequality in the political economy of natural disaster recovery," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 243-255.
    15. Wang, Kun & Tsui, Wai Hong Kan & Li, Lan-Bing & Lei, Zheng & Fu, Xiaowen, 2020. "Entry pattern of low-cost carriers in New Zealand - The impact of domestic and trans-Tasman market factors," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 36-45.
    16. Thoa Hoang & Ilan Noy, 2019. "Wellbeing After a Managed Retreat: Observations from a Large New Zealand Program," CESifo Working Paper Series 7938, CESifo.
    17. Gujun Pu & Alice Chang-Richards & Suzanne Wilkinson & Regan Potangaroa, 2021. "What makes a successful livelihood recovery? a study of China’s Lushan earthquake," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(3), pages 2543-2567, February.
    18. Porntida Poontirakul & Charlotte Brown & Erica Seville & John Vargo & Ilan Noy, 2017. "Insurance as a Double-Edged Sword: Quantitative Evidence from the 2011 Christchurch Earthquake," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 42(4), pages 609-632, October.

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