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The Most Unkindest Cut of All? State Spending on Health, Education, and Welfare During Recessions

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  • Richard T. Boylan
  • Vivian Ho

Abstract

The dramatic deterioration in state finances during the Great Recession raised concerns regarding government’s ability to support community health and education. Because recessions differentially affect states with different tax structures, we could examine the effect of changes in state revenues on expenditures while controlling for demand-side factors that influence program utilization. We find that state revenue declines lead to short and long terms cuts in children’s Medicaid benefits, and declines in elderly Medicaid enrollment. Larger cuts (nominal and proportional) in education spending versus Medicaid occurred. We suggest institutional, political, and economic constraints that may determine program cuts.

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  • Richard T. Boylan & Vivian Ho, 2017. "The Most Unkindest Cut of All? State Spending on Health, Education, and Welfare During Recessions," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 70(2), pages 329-366, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ntj:journl:v:70:y:2017:i:2:p:329-366
    DOI: 10.17310/ntj.2017.2.04
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    Cited by:

    1. Jeffrey Swanson & Namhoon Ki, 2020. "When Would a Democratic Governor Increase Social Welfare Funding? The Joint Moderation of a State's Economy and a Governor's Budgetary Authority," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 37(5), pages 634-656, September.
    2. Samuel Luethi & Maria Zumbuehl, 2022. "The response of public education spending to changes in student cohort sizes," Economics of Education Working Paper Series 0198, University of Zurich, Department of Business Administration (IBW).

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