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The multi-millennial Antarctic commitment to future sea-level rise

Author

Listed:
  • N. R. Golledge

    (Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington
    GNS Science)

  • D. E. Kowalewski

    (Environment, and Physics, Worcester State University)

  • T. R. Naish

    (Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington
    GNS Science)

  • R. H. Levy

    (GNS Science)

  • C. J. Fogwill

    (Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales)

  • E. G. W. Gasson

    (Climate System Research Center, University of Massachusetts Amherst)

Abstract

Despite computational and methodological uncertainties, and a wide range of potential greenhouse gas emissions, here millennial-scale simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet in a warming climate show that most of Antarctica’s fringing ice shelves will collapse, leading to a rise in sea level of up to 3 metres by 2300.

Suggested Citation

  • N. R. Golledge & D. E. Kowalewski & T. R. Naish & R. H. Levy & C. J. Fogwill & E. G. W. Gasson, 2015. "The multi-millennial Antarctic commitment to future sea-level rise," Nature, Nature, vol. 526(7573), pages 421-425, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:526:y:2015:i:7573:d:10.1038_nature15706
    DOI: 10.1038/nature15706
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    Cited by:

    1. Zeng, Lijun & Guo, Lingyi & Jiang, Liwen, 2024. "A bi-level multi-objective optimization model for inter-provincial carbon emissions transfer tax on electricity production," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).
    2. James R. Jordan & B. W. J. Miles & G. H. Gudmundsson & S. S. R. Jamieson & A. Jenkins & C. R. Stokes, 2023. "Increased warm water intrusions could cause mass loss in East Antarctica during the next 200 years," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. Qureshi, M Fahed & Khandelwal, Himanshu & Usadi, Adam & Barckholtz, Timothy A. & Mhadeshwar, Ashish B. & Linga, Praveen, 2022. "CO2 hydrate stability in oceanic sediments under brine conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    4. Richard Taylor & Ruth Butterfield & Tiago Capela Lourenço & Adis Dzebo & Henrik Carlsen & Richard J. T. Klein, 2020. "Surveying perceptions and practices of high-end climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 65-87, July.
    5. David K. Hutchinson & Laurie Menviel & Katrin J. Meissner & Andrew McC. Hogg, 2024. "East Antarctic warming forced by ice loss during the Last Interglacial," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Muhammad Syahiran Abdul Malik & Ashrul Ishak Mohamad Shaiful & Mohd Shuisma Mohd. Ismail & Mohammad Nazri Mohd Jaafar & Amirah Mohamad Sahar, 2017. "Combustion and Emission Characteristics of Coconut-Based Biodiesel in a Liquid Fuel Burner," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-12, April.
    7. Miriam Dunn & Mark D. Rounsevell & Henrik Carlsen & Adis Dzebo & Tiago Capela Lourenço & Joseph Hagg, 2017. "To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 141(2), pages 181-195, March.
    8. Yuxin Tang & Ran Wang & Hui Ci & Jinyuan Wei & Hui Yang & Jiakun Teng & Zhaojin Yan, 2024. "Analysis of the Spatiotemporal Evolution of Carbon Budget and Carbon Compensation Zoning in the Core Area of the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-23, May.
    9. Michael E. Weber & Nicholas R. Golledge & Chris J. Fogwill & Chris S. M. Turney & Zoë A. Thomas, 2021. "Decadal-scale onset and termination of Antarctic ice-mass loss during the last deglaciation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-13, December.
    10. Ritchie, Justin & Dowlatabadi, Hadi, 2017. "Why do climate change scenarios return to coal?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(P1), pages 1276-1291.

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