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Late-twentieth-century emergence of the El Niño propagation asymmetry and future projections

Author

Listed:
  • Agus Santoso

    (Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, Level 4 Mathews Building, The University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia)

  • Shayne McGregor

    (Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, Level 4 Mathews Building, The University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia)

  • Fei-Fei Jin

    (School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST), University of Hawaii at Manoa, 2525 Correa Road, Honolulu, Hawaii 96822, USA)

  • Wenju Cai

    (Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Marine and Atmospheric Research, 107-121 Station Street, Aspendale, Victoria 3195, Australia)

  • Matthew H. England

    (Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, Level 4 Mathews Building, The University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia)

  • Soon-Il An

    (Yonsei University, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-Gu, Seoul 120-749, South Korea)

  • Michael J. McPhaden

    (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory)

  • Eric Guilyardi

    (Laboratoire d’Océanographie et du Climat: Expérimentation et Approches Numériques/Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL)/Centre national de la recherché scientifique (CNRS), tour 45-55, étage 4, pièce 406, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, 4 Jussieu, 75252 Paris Cedex 05, France
    National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS)—Climate, University of Reading, Earley Gate, Reading RG6 6BB, UK)

Abstract

The El Niño propagation asymmetry (in which sea surface temperature anomalies propagate eastwards during an extreme El Niño event) is shown to be caused by the variations in upper ocean currents in the equatorial Pacific Ocean; increased occurrences of the propagation asymmetry may be a manifestation of global greenhouse warming.

Suggested Citation

  • Agus Santoso & Shayne McGregor & Fei-Fei Jin & Wenju Cai & Matthew H. England & Soon-Il An & Michael J. McPhaden & Eric Guilyardi, 2013. "Late-twentieth-century emergence of the El Niño propagation asymmetry and future projections," Nature, Nature, vol. 504(7478), pages 126-130, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:504:y:2013:i:7478:d:10.1038_nature12683
    DOI: 10.1038/nature12683
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    Cited by:

    1. Hosmay Lopez & Sang-Ki Lee & Dongmin Kim & Andrew T. Wittenberg & Sang-Wook Yeh, 2022. "Projections of faster onset and slower decay of El Niño in the 21st century," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.

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