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Seasonal prediction of hurricane activity reaching the coast of the United States

Author

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  • Mark A. Saunders

    (University College London)

  • Adam S. Lea

    (University College London)

Abstract

Storm warning The 2004 US hurricane season was one of the worst on record. Four hurricanes struck Florida in August and September, and insurance companies faced claims of over $23 billion. Accurate seasonal prediction of hurricane landfall activity would forewarn administrators and businesses of the likelihood of either high or low damage. By using tropospheric height-averaged wind anomalies present over North America and the east Pacific and North Atlantic oceans during July, the total wind energy of US landfalling hurricanes can be predicted with some precision for the following hurricane season. On the cover (Courtesy Univ. Wisconsin-Madison, Space Science and Engineering Center) is a composite satellite image of hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne ‘approaching’ Florida in August and September 2004.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark A. Saunders & Adam S. Lea, 2005. "Seasonal prediction of hurricane activity reaching the coast of the United States," Nature, Nature, vol. 434(7036), pages 1005-1008, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:434:y:2005:i:7036:d:10.1038_nature03454
    DOI: 10.1038/nature03454
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    Cited by:

    1. Heather Welch & Matthew S. Savoca & Stephanie Brodie & Michael G. Jacox & Barbara A. Muhling & Thomas A. Clay & Megan A. Cimino & Scott R. Benson & Barbara A. Block & Melinda G. Conners & Daniel P. Co, 2023. "Impacts of marine heatwaves on top predator distributions are variable but predictable," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    2. Thomas Jagger & James Elsner & R. Burch, 2011. "Climate and solar signals in property damage losses from hurricanes affecting the United States," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(1), pages 541-557, July.
    3. Larry S. Daley, 2005. "The Riverine Gallery Forests: The Chill Abode of the Jigüe," Annual Proceedings, The Association for the Study of the Cuban Economy, vol. 15.

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