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Large increase in global storm runoff extremes driven by climate and anthropogenic changes

Author

Listed:
  • Jiabo Yin

    (Wuhan University
    Columbia University)

  • Pierre Gentine

    (Columbia University
    Columbia University)

  • Sha Zhou

    (Columbia University
    Columbia University)

  • Sylvia C. Sullivan

    (Columbia University)

  • Ren Wang

    (Columbia University
    Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Yao Zhang

    (Columbia University)

  • Shenglian Guo

    (Wuhan University)

Abstract

Weather extremes have widespread harmful impacts on ecosystems and human communities with more deaths and economic losses from flash floods than any other severe weather-related hazards. Flash floods attributed to storm runoff extremes are projected to become more frequent and damaging globally due to a warming climate and anthropogenic changes, but previous studies have not examined the response of these storm runoff extremes to naturally and anthropogenically driven changes in surface temperature and atmospheric moisture content. Here we show that storm runoff extremes increase in most regions at rates higher than suggested by Clausius-Clapeyron scaling, which are systematically close to or exceed those of precipitation extremes over most regions of the globe, accompanied by large spatial and decadal variability. These results suggest that current projected response of storm runoff extremes to climate and anthropogenic changes may be underestimated, posing large threats for ecosystem and community resilience under future warming conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiabo Yin & Pierre Gentine & Sha Zhou & Sylvia C. Sullivan & Ren Wang & Yao Zhang & Shenglian Guo, 2018. "Large increase in global storm runoff extremes driven by climate and anthropogenic changes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:9:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-018-06765-2
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06765-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Jing Tian & Shenglian Guo & Dedi Liu & Zhengke Pan & Xingjun Hong, 2019. "A Fair Approach for Multi-Objective Water Resources Allocation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(10), pages 3633-3653, August.
    2. Yao Morton Kouame & Salomon Obahoundje & Arona Diedhiou & Baptiste François & Ernest Amoussou & Sandrine Anquetin & Régis Sacre Didi & Lazare Kouakou Kouassi & Vami Hermann N’guessan Bi & Emile Gneney, 2019. "Climate, Land Use and Land Cover Changes in the Bandama Basin (Côte D’Ivoire, West Africa) and Incidences on Hydropower Production of the Kossou Dam," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-21, June.
    3. Yiping Wu & Xiaowei Yin & Guoyi Zhou & L. Adrian Bruijnzeel & Aiguo Dai & Fan Wang & Pierre Gentine & Guangchuang Zhang & Yanni Song & Decheng Zhou, 2024. "Rising rainfall intensity induces spatially divergent hydrological changes within a large river basin," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    4. Xiaoyun Sun & Guotao Zhang & Jiao Wang & Chaoyue Li & Shengnan Wu & Yao Li, 2022. "Spatiotemporal variation of flash floods in the Hengduan Mountains region affected by rainfall properties and land use," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(1), pages 465-488, March.
    5. Wang, Wendi & Straffelini, Eugenio & Tarolli, Paolo, 2023. "Steep-slope viticulture: The effectiveness of micro-water storage in improving the resilience to weather extremes," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    6. Ying Luo & Xudong Chen & Liming Yao, 2021. "Flood disaster resilience evaluation of Chinese regions: integrating the hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets with prospect theory," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(1), pages 667-690, January.
    7. Iulii Didovets & Valentina Krysanova & Aliya Nurbatsina & Bijan Fallah & Viktoriya Krylova & Assel Saparova & Jafar Niyazov & Olga Kalashnikova & Fred Fokko Hattermann, 2024. "Attribution of current trends in streamflow to climate change for 12 Central Asian catchments," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(1), pages 1-20, January.
    8. Shao Sun & Qiang Zhang & Yuanxin Xu & Ruyue Yuan, 2021. "Integrated Assessments of Meteorological Hazards across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-14, September.
    9. Zeng, Yujie & Liu, Dedi & Guo, Shenglian & Xiong, Lihua & Liu, Pan & Chen, Jie & Chen, Hua & Yin, Jiabo & Wu, Zhenhui & Zhou, Wan, 2024. "Assessment of the impacts of water resources allocation on the reliability, resilience and vulnerability of the water–energy–food–society (WEFS) nexus system," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    10. Ming, Bo & Chen, Jing & Fang, Wei & Liu, Pan & Zhang, Wei & Jiang, Jianhua, 2023. "Evaluation of stochastic optimal operation models for hydro–photovoltaic hybrid generation systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    11. Shaokun He & Shenglian Guo & Guang Yang & Kebing Chen & Dedi Liu & Yanlai Zhou, 2020. "Optimizing Operation Rules of Cascade Reservoirs for Adapting Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(1), pages 101-120, January.
    12. Ahmed Awad & Wan Luo & Nadhir Al-Ansari & Ahmed Elbeltagi & Mustafa El-Rawy & Hesham N. Farres & Mohamed EL-Sayed Gabr, 2021. "Farmers’ Awareness in the Context of Climate Change: An Underutilized Way for Ensuring Sustainable Farmland Adaptation and Surface Water Quality," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-16, October.
    13. Lei Gu & Jiabo Yin & Pierre Gentine & Hui-Min Wang & Louise J. Slater & Sylvia C. Sullivan & Jie Chen & Jakob Zscheischler & Shenglian Guo, 2023. "Large anomalies in future extreme precipitation sensitivity driven by atmospheric dynamics," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.

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