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Sensible heat has significantly affected the global hydrological cycle over the historical period

Author

Listed:
  • G. Myhre

    (CICERO Center for International Climate Research – Oslo)

  • B. H. Samset

    (CICERO Center for International Climate Research – Oslo)

  • Ø. Hodnebrog

    (CICERO Center for International Climate Research – Oslo)

  • T. Andrews

    (Met Office Hadley Centre)

  • O. Boucher

    (CNRS/Sorbonne Université)

  • G. Faluvegi

    (NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
    Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University)

  • D. Fläschner

    (Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie)

  • P. M. Forster

    (University of Leeds)

  • M. Kasoar

    (Imperial College London)

  • V. Kharin

    (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis)

  • A. Kirkevåg

    (Norwegian Meteorological Institute)

  • J.-F. Lamarque

    (NCAR/UCAR)

  • D. Olivié

    (Norwegian Meteorological Institute)

  • T. B. Richardson

    (University of Leeds)

  • D. Shawki

    (Imperial College London)

  • D. Shindell

    (Duke University)

  • K. P. Shine

    (University of Reading)

  • C. W. Stjern

    (CICERO Center for International Climate Research – Oslo)

  • T. Takemura

    (Kyushu University)

  • A. Voulgarakis

    (Imperial College London)

Abstract

Globally, latent heating associated with a change in precipitation is balanced by changes to atmospheric radiative cooling and sensible heat fluxes. Both components can be altered by climate forcing mechanisms and through climate feedbacks, but the impacts of climate forcing and feedbacks on sensible heat fluxes have received much less attention. Here we show, using a range of climate modelling results, that changes in sensible heat are the dominant contributor to the present global-mean precipitation change since preindustrial time, because the radiative impact of forcings and feedbacks approximately compensate. The model results show a dissimilar influence on sensible heat and precipitation from various drivers of climate change. Due to its strong atmospheric absorption, black carbon is found to influence the sensible heat very differently compared to other aerosols and greenhouse gases. Our results indicate that this is likely caused by differences in the impact on the lower tropospheric stability.

Suggested Citation

  • G. Myhre & B. H. Samset & Ø. Hodnebrog & T. Andrews & O. Boucher & G. Faluvegi & D. Fläschner & P. M. Forster & M. Kasoar & V. Kharin & A. Kirkevåg & J.-F. Lamarque & D. Olivié & T. B. Richardson & D., 2018. "Sensible heat has significantly affected the global hydrological cycle over the historical period," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:9:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-018-04307-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-04307-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Qin Ji & Jianping Yang & Can Wang & Hongju Chen & Qingshan He & Zhenqi Sun & Quntao Duan & Yao Li, 2021. "The Risk of the Population in a Changing Climate over the Tibetan Plateau, China: Integrating Hazard, Population Exposure and Vulnerability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-20, March.

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