IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v7y2016i1d10.1038_ncomms13530.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Field warming experiments shed light on the wheat yield response to temperature in China

Author

Listed:
  • Chuang Zhao

    (Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University)

  • Shilong Piao

    (Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University
    Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Yao Huang

    (State Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change, Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Xuhui Wang

    (Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University)

  • Philippe Ciais

    (LSCE, UMR CEA-CNRS, Bat. 709, CE, L'Orme des Merisiers)

  • Mengtian Huang

    (Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University)

  • Zhenzhong Zeng

    (Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University)

  • Shushi Peng

    (Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University)

Abstract

Wheat growth is sensitive to temperature, but the effect of future warming on yield is uncertain. Here, focusing on China, we compiled 46 observations of the sensitivity of wheat yield to temperature change (SY,T, yield change per °C) from field warming experiments and 102 SY,T estimates from local process-based and statistical models. The average SY,T from field warming experiments, local process-based models and statistical models is −0.7±7.8(±s.d.)% per °C, −5.7±6.5% per °C and 0.4±4.4% per °C, respectively. Moreover, SY,T is different across regions and warming experiments indicate positive SY,T values in regions where growing-season mean temperature is low, and water supply is not limiting, and negative values elsewhere. Gridded crop model simulations from the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project appear to capture the spatial pattern of SY,T deduced from warming observations. These results from local manipulative experiments could be used to improve crop models in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Chuang Zhao & Shilong Piao & Yao Huang & Xuhui Wang & Philippe Ciais & Mengtian Huang & Zhenzhong Zeng & Shushi Peng, 2016. "Field warming experiments shed light on the wheat yield response to temperature in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-8, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:7:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1038_ncomms13530
    DOI: 10.1038/ncomms13530
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms13530
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/ncomms13530?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yan, Zongzheng & Zhang, Xiying & Rashid, Muhammad Adil & Li, Hongjun & Jing, Haichun & Hochman, Zvi, 2020. "Assessment of the sustainability of different cropping systems under three irrigation strategies in the North China Plain under climate change," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    2. Mauro Hermann & Heini Wernli & Matthias Röthlisberger, 2024. "Drastic increase in the magnitude of very rare summer-mean vapor pressure deficit extremes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. Keyvan Malek & Patrick Reed & Jennifer Adam & Tina Karimi & Michael Brady, 2020. "Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Kim, Sumin & Kim, Sojung, 2023. "Optimization of the design of an agrophotovoltaic system in future climate conditions in South Korea," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 928-938.
    5. Pang, Haifang & Lian, Yanhao & Zhao, Zhibo & Guo, Hui & Li, Zongzhen & Hu, Junjie & Ren, Yongzhe & Lin, Tongbao & Wang, Zhiqiang, 2024. "Compensatory effect of supplementary irrigation on winter wheat under warming conditions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    6. Sohail Abbas & Zulfiqar Ali Mayo, 2021. "Impact of temperature and rainfall on rice production in Punjab, Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 1706-1728, February.
    7. Jialing Teng & Ruixing Hou & Jennifer A. J. Dungait & Guiyao Zhou & Yakov Kuzyakov & Jingbo Zhang & Jing Tian & Zhenling Cui & Fusuo Zhang & Manuel Delgado-Baquerizo, 2024. "Conservation agriculture improves soil health and sustains crop yields after long-term warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Qiao, Shengchao & Harrison, Sandy P. & Prentice, I. Colin & Wang, Han, 2023. "Optimality-based modelling of wheat sowing dates globally," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    9. Sjulgård, Hanna & Keller, Thomas & Garland, Gina & Colombi, Tino, 2023. "Relationships between weather and yield anomalies vary with crop type and latitude in Sweden," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:7:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1038_ncomms13530. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.