IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v13y2022i1d10.1038_s41467-022-28305-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Vegetation-based climate mitigation in a warmer and greener World

Author

Listed:
  • Ramdane Alkama

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre)

  • Giovanni Forzieri

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre)

  • Gregory Duveiller

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre
    Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry)

  • Giacomo Grassi

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre)

  • Shunlin Liang

    (University of Maryland)

  • Alessandro Cescatti

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre)

Abstract

The mitigation potential of vegetation-driven biophysical effects is strongly influenced by the background climate and will therefore be influenced by global warming. Based on an ensemble of remote sensing datasets, here we first estimate the temperature sensitivities to changes in leaf area over the period 2003–2014 as a function of key environmental drivers. These sensitivities are then used to predict temperature changes induced by future leaf area dynamics under four scenarios. Results show that by 2100, under high-emission scenario, greening will likely mitigate land warming by 0.71 ± 0.40 °C, and 83% of such effect (0.59 ± 0.41 °C) is driven by the increase in plant carbon sequestration, while the remaining cooling (0.12 ± 0.05 °C) is due to biophysical land-atmosphere interactions. In addition, our results show a large potential of vegetation to reduce future land warming in the very-stringent scenario (35 ± 20% of the overall warming signal), whereas this effect is limited to 11 ± 6% under the high-emission scenario.

Suggested Citation

  • Ramdane Alkama & Giovanni Forzieri & Gregory Duveiller & Giacomo Grassi & Shunlin Liang & Alessandro Cescatti, 2022. "Vegetation-based climate mitigation in a warmer and greener World," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-28305-9
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-28305-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-28305-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-022-28305-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xiaodong Huang & Xiaoqian Liu & Ying Wang, 2024. "Spatio-Temporal Variations and Drivers of Carbon Storage in the Tibetan Plateau under SSP-RCP Scenarios Based on the PLUS-InVEST-GeoDetector Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-22, July.
    2. Guo, Youzheng & Ma, Yingjun & Ding, Changjun & Di, Nan & Liu, Yang & Tan, Jianbiao & Zhang, Shusen & Yu, Weichen & Gao, Guixi & Duan, Jie & Xi, Benye & Li, Ximeng, 2023. "Plant hydraulics provide guidance for irrigation management in mature polar plantation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    3. Yitao Li & Zhao-Liang Li & Hua Wu & Chenghu Zhou & Xiangyang Liu & Pei Leng & Peng Yang & Wenbin Wu & Ronglin Tang & Guo-Fei Shang & Lingling Ma, 2023. "Biophysical impacts of earth greening can substantially mitigate regional land surface temperature warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Jun Ge & Qi Liu & Beilei Zan & Zhiqiang Lin & Sha Lu & Bo Qiu & Weidong Guo, 2022. "Deforestation intensifies daily temperature variability in the northern extratropics," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    5. Manca Dremel & Barbara Goličnik Marušić & Igor Zelnik, 2023. "Defining Natural Habitat Types as Nature-Based Solutions in Urban Planning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-22, September.
    6. Wei Yang & Xinquan Su & Lu Li & Bing Yu & Xiao Chen & Zhibang Luo & Wenyv Chu & Wenting Zhang, 2024. "Forecasting Future Vegetation Dynamics under SSP/RCP Pathways under Spatially Changing Climate and Human Activities Conditions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-25, July.
    7. Qiang Bie & Ying Shi & Xinzhang Li & Yueju Wang, 2022. "Contrastive Analysis and Accuracy Assessment of Three Global 30 m Land Cover Maps Circa 2020 in Arid Land," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-28305-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.