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Global health effects of future atmospheric mercury emissions

Author

Listed:
  • Yanxu Zhang

    (Nanjing University)

  • Zhengcheng Song

    (Nanjing University)

  • Shaojian Huang

    (Nanjing University)

  • Peng Zhang

    (Nanjing University)

  • Yiming Peng

    (Nanjing University)

  • Peipei Wu

    (Nanjing University)

  • Jing Gu

    (Nanjing University)

  • Stephanie Dutkiewicz

    (Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Huanxin Zhang

    (University of Iowa
    Geological and Mining Engineering and Sciences, Michigan Technological University)

  • Shiliang Wu

    (Geological and Mining Engineering and Sciences, Michigan Technological University
    Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan Technological University)

  • Feiyue Wang

    (Centre for Earth Observation Science, Department of Environment and Geography, University of Manitoba)

  • Long Chen

    (Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University)

  • Shuxiao Wang

    (School of Environment, State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University
    State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex)

  • Ping Li

    (State Key Laboratory of Environmental Geochemistry, Institute of Geochemistry, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Mercury is a potent neurotoxin that poses health risks to the global population. Anthropogenic mercury emissions to the atmosphere are projected to decrease in the future due to enhanced policy efforts such as the Minamata Convention, a legally-binding international treaty entered into force in 2017. Here, we report the development of a comprehensive climate-atmosphere-land-ocean-ecosystem and exposure-risk model framework for mercury and its application to project the health effects of future atmospheric emissions. Our results show that the accumulated health effects associated with mercury exposure during 2010–2050 are $19 (95% confidence interval: 4.7–54) trillion (2020 USD) realized to 2050 (3% discount rate) for the current policy scenario. Our results suggest a substantial increase in global human health cost if emission reduction actions are delayed. This comprehensive modeling approach provides a much-needed tool to help parties to evaluate the effectiveness of Hg emission controls as required by the Minamata Convention.

Suggested Citation

  • Yanxu Zhang & Zhengcheng Song & Shaojian Huang & Peng Zhang & Yiming Peng & Peipei Wu & Jing Gu & Stephanie Dutkiewicz & Huanxin Zhang & Shiliang Wu & Feiyue Wang & Long Chen & Shuxiao Wang & Ping Li, 2021. "Global health effects of future atmospheric mercury emissions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-23391-7
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-23391-7
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    Cited by:

    1. Tengfei Yuan & Shaojian Huang & Peng Zhang & Zhengcheng Song & Jun Ge & Xin Miao & Yujuan Wang & Qiaotong Pang & Dong Peng & Peipei Wu & Junjiong Shao & Peipei Zhang & Yabo Wang & Hongyan Guo & Weidon, 2024. "Potential decoupling of CO2 and Hg uptake process by global vegetation in the 21st century," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Hailong Li & Fanyue Meng & Penglin Zhu & Hongxiao Zu & Zequn Yang & Wenqi Qu & Jianping Yang, 2024. "Biomimetic mercury immobilization by selenium functionalized polyphenylene sulfide fabric," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.

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