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Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England

Author

Listed:
  • James D. Munday

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Katharine Sherratt

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Sophie Meakin

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Akira Endo

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Carl A. B. Pearson

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Joel Hellewell

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Sam Abbott

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Nikos I. Bosse

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Katherine E. Atkins

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    University of Edinburgh)

  • Jacco Wallinga

    (National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)
    Leiden University Medical Centre)

  • W. John Edmunds

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Albert Jan Hoek

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM))

  • Sebastian Funk

    (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

Abstract

In early 2020 many countries closed schools to mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Since then, governments have sought to relax the closures, engendering a need to understand associated risks. Using address records, we construct a network of schools in England connected through pupils who share households. We evaluate the risk of transmission between schools under different reopening scenarios. We show that whilst reopening select year-groups causes low risk of large-scale transmission, reopening secondary schools could result in outbreaks affecting up to 2.5 million households if unmitigated, highlighting the importance of careful monitoring and within-school infection control to avoid further school closures or other restrictions.

Suggested Citation

  • James D. Munday & Katharine Sherratt & Sophie Meakin & Akira Endo & Carl A. B. Pearson & Joel Hellewell & Sam Abbott & Nikos I. Bosse & Katherine E. Atkins & Jacco Wallinga & W. John Edmunds & Albert , 2021. "Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-22213-0
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22213-0
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    Cited by:

    1. Taro Mori & Taisei Akamatsu & Kouhei Kuwabara & Motoya Hayashi, 2022. "Comparison of Indoor Environment and Energy Consumption before and after Spread of COVID-19 in Schools in Japanese Cold-Climate Region," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-16, February.

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