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Effect of the Great Recession on regional mortality trends in Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Joan Ballester

    (Climate and Health Program, Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal))

  • Jean-Marie Robine

    (Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)
    École Pratique des Hautes Études)

  • François R. Herrmann

    (Division of Geriatrics, Department of Rehabilitation and Geriatrics, Geneva University Hospitals and University of Geneva)

  • Xavier Rodó

    (Climate and Health Program, Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal)
    ICREA)

Abstract

Previous studies have consistently shown the recurrent relationship between macroeconomic cycles and changes in mortality trends, so that recessions are generally associated with periods of faster life expectancy rise, and periods of economic growth with slower reductions or even increases in mortality trends. Here we analyze the link between annual per capita estimates of gross domestic product and daily atmospheric temperatures and standardized death rates for a large ensemble of European regions to describe the effect of the Great Recession on annual and seasonal changes in all-cause human mortality trends. Results show that the countries and regions with the largest (smallest) economic slowdown were also those with the largest (smallest) strengthening of the declining mortality trend. This procyclical evolution of mortality rates is found to be stronger during the cold part of the year, showing that it also depends on the seasonal timing of the underlying causes of death.

Suggested Citation

  • Joan Ballester & Jean-Marie Robine & François R. Herrmann & Xavier Rodó, 2019. "Effect of the Great Recession on regional mortality trends in Europe," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:10:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-019-08539-w
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-08539-w
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    Cited by:

    1. Henrik Brønnum-Hansen & Juan Carlos Albizu-Campos Espiñeira & Camila Perera & Ingelise Andersen, 2023. "Trends in mortality patterns in two countries with different welfare models: comparisons between Cuba and Denmark 1955–2020," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 1-28, June.
    2. Piiroinen, Ilkka & Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka & Tolmunen, Tommi & Kraav, Siiri-Liisi & Jarroch, Rand & Voutilainen, Ari, 2023. "Change in sense of coherence mediates the association between economic recession and mortality among middle-aged men: A population-based cohort study from Eastern Finland," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 332(C).
    3. Almudena Moreno-Lostao & Gregorio Barrio & Luis Sordo & Lucía Cea-Soriano & David Martínez & Enrique Regidor, 2019. "Mortality in working-age population during the Great Recession and austerity in Spain," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(6), pages 1-13, June.
    4. Gigi Foster & Paul Frijters, 2024. "Hiding the elephant: The tragedy of COVID policy and its economist apologists," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(1), pages 106-144, March.
    5. Giambattista Salinari & Federico Benassi & Gianni Carboni, 2023. "The Effect of the Great Recession on Italian Life Expectancy," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(1), pages 1-15, February.
    6. Giambattista Salinari & Federico Benassi, 2022. "The long-term effect of the Great Recession on European mortality," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 417-439, September.

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