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Madden–Julian oscillation changes under anthropogenic warming

Author

Listed:
  • Eric D. Maloney

    (Colorado State University)

  • Ángel F. Adames

    (University of Michigan)

  • Hien X. Bui

    (Colorado State University)

Abstract

The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) produces a region of enhanced precipitation that travels eastwards along the Equator in a 40–50 day cycle, perturbing tropical and high-latitude winds, and thereby modulating extreme weather events such as flooding, hurricanes and heat waves. Here, we synthesize current understanding on projected changes in the MJO under anthropogenic warming, demonstrating that MJO-related precipitation variations are likely to increase in intensity, whereas wind variations are likely to increase at a slower rate or even decrease. Nevertheless, future work should address uncertainties in the amplitude of precipitation and wind changes and the impacts of projected SST patterns, with the aim of improving predictions of the MJO and its associated extreme weather.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric D. Maloney & Ángel F. Adames & Hien X. Bui, 2019. "Madden–Julian oscillation changes under anthropogenic warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 26-33, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:9:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1038_s41558-018-0331-6
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0331-6
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    Cited by:

    1. Hosmay Lopez & Sang-Ki Lee & Dongmin Kim & Andrew T. Wittenberg & Sang-Wook Yeh, 2022. "Projections of faster onset and slower decay of El Niño in the 21st century," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Phong V. V. Le & James T. Randerson & Rebecca Willett & Stephen Wright & Padhraic Smyth & Clément Guilloteau & Antonios Mamalakis & Efi Foufoula-Georgiou, 2023. "Climate-driven changes in the predictability of seasonal precipitation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.

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