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Response of El Niño sea surface temperature variability to greenhouse warming

Author

Listed:
  • Seon Tae Kim

    (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research)

  • Wenju Cai

    (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research
    Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Qingdao Collaborative Innovation Center of Marine Science and Technology, Ocean University of China)

  • Fei-Fei Jin

    (University of Hawaii at Manoa)

  • Agus Santoso

    (ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales)

  • Lixin Wu

    (Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Qingdao Collaborative Innovation Center of Marine Science and Technology, Ocean University of China)

  • Eric Guilyardi

    (LOCEAN, IPSL
    NCAS-Climate, University of Reading)

  • Soon-Il An

    (Yonsei University)

Abstract

The impacts of climate change on certain aspects of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have been established. However, the change in sea surface temperature, commonly used to represent ENSO amplitude, remained uncertain. Now, the sea surface response is shown to be time-varying, with an increasing trend to 2040 followed by a decreasing trend. The previous uncertainty is attributed to the expectation of unidirectional behaviour and unrealistic model representations.

Suggested Citation

  • Seon Tae Kim & Wenju Cai & Fei-Fei Jin & Agus Santoso & Lixin Wu & Eric Guilyardi & Soon-Il An, 2014. "Response of El Niño sea surface temperature variability to greenhouse warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(9), pages 786-790, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:4:y:2014:i:9:d:10.1038_nclimate2326
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2326
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    Cited by:

    1. Pierre Mérel & Matthew Gammans, 2021. "Climate Econometrics: Can the Panel Approach Account for Long‐Run Adaptation?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(4), pages 1207-1238, August.
    2. Tao Geng & Wenju Cai & Lixin Wu & Agus Santoso & Guojian Wang & Zhao Jing & Bolan Gan & Yun Yang & Shujun Li & Shengpeng Wang & Zhaohui Chen & Michael J. McPhaden, 2022. "Emergence of changing Central-Pacific and Eastern-Pacific El Niño-Southern Oscillation in a warming climate," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. Guerra, Omar J. & Tejada, Diego A. & Reklaitis, Gintaras V., 2016. "An optimization framework for the integrated planning of generation and transmission expansion in interconnected power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1-21.

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