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Assessment of the first consensus prediction on climate change

Author

Listed:
  • David J. Frame

    (NZ Climate Change Research Institute, Victoria University Wellington
    Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • Dáithí A. Stone

    (University of Oxford
    Climate Systems Analysis Group, University of Cape Town
    Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Oxford University Centre for the Environment
    Present address: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, 1 Cyclotron Road, MS 50F-1650, Berkeley, California 94720, USA)

Abstract

In 1990 the First Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was produced. It contained a prediction of the global-mean-temperature trend for 1990–2030 which, halfway through that period, appears accurate. This is remarkable in hindsight, considering a number of important external forcings were not included. This study concludes the greenhouse-gas-induced warming is largely overwhelming the other forcings.

Suggested Citation

  • David J. Frame & Dáithí A. Stone, 2013. "Assessment of the first consensus prediction on climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 357-359, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:4:d:10.1038_nclimate1763
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1763
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    Cited by:

    1. Yaolong Liu & Guorui Feng & Ye Xue & Huaming Zhang & Ruoguang Wang, 2015. "Small-scale natural disaster risk scenario analysis: a case study from the town of Shuitou, Pingyang County, Wenzhou, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(3), pages 2167-2183, February.
    2. Qiuying Lai & Jie Ma & Fei He & Aiguo Zhang & Dongyan Pei & Minghui Yu, 2022. "Current and Future Potential of Shellfish and Algae Mariculture Carbon Sinks in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(14), pages 1-15, July.

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