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Climate threats to coastal infrastructure and sustainable development outcomes

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel Adshead

    (KTH Royal Institute of Technology
    University of Oxford)

  • Amelie Paszkowski

    (University of Oxford)

  • Sarah S. Gall

    (University of Oxford)

  • Alison M. Peard

    (University of Oxford)

  • Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani Adnan

    (University of Strathclyde
    Chittagong University of Engineering and Technology)

  • Jasper Verschuur

    (University of Oxford)

  • Jim W. Hall

    (University of Oxford)

Abstract

Climate hazards pose increasing threats to development outcomes across the world’s coastal regions by impacting infrastructure service delivery. Using a high-resolution dataset of 8.2 million households in Bangladesh’s coastal zone, we assess the extent to which infrastructure service disruptions induced by flood, cyclone and erosion hazards can thwart progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Results show that climate hazards potentially threaten infrastructure service access to all households, with the poorest being disproportionately threatened in 69% of coastal subdistricts. Targeting adaptation to these climatic threats in one-third (33%) of the most vulnerable areas could help to safeguard 50–85% of achieved progress towards SDG 3, 4, 7, 8 and 13 indicators. These findings illustrate the potential of geospatial climate risk analyses, which incorporate direct household exposure and essential service access. Such high-resolution analyses are becoming feasible even in data-scarce parts of the world, helping decision-makers target and prioritize pro-poor development.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Adshead & Amelie Paszkowski & Sarah S. Gall & Alison M. Peard & Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani Adnan & Jasper Verschuur & Jim W. Hall, 2024. "Climate threats to coastal infrastructure and sustainable development outcomes," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 14(4), pages 344-352, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:14:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1038_s41558-024-01950-2
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-01950-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dapeng Yu & Jie Yin & Robert L. Wilby & Stuart N. Lane & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Ning Lin & Min Liu & Hongyong Yuan & Jianguo Chen & Christel Prudhomme & Mingfu Guan & Avinoam Baruch & Charlie W. D. J, 2020. "Disruption of emergency response to vulnerable populations during floods," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 3(9), pages 728-736, September.
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    3. Stock, Robert, 1983. "Distance and the utilization of health facilities in rural Nigeria," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 17(9), pages 563-570, January.
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