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Only halving emissions by 2030 can minimize risks of crossing cryosphere thresholds

Author

Listed:
  • Uta Kloenne

    (Climate Analytics)

  • Alexander Nauels

    (Climate Analytics
    The University of Melbourne)

  • Pam Pearson

    (International Cryosphere Climate Initiative)

  • Robert M. DeConto

    (University of Massachusetts)

  • Helen S. Findlay

    (Plymouth Marine Laboratory)

  • Gustaf Hugelius

    (Stockholm University)

  • Alexander Robinson

    (Complutense University of Madrid
    Instituto de Geociencias, CSIC-UCM
    Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)

  • Joeri Rogelj

    (Imperial College London
    International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Edward A. G. Schuur

    (Northern Arizona University)

  • Julienne Stroeve

    (University of Manitoba
    University College London
    University of Colorado Boulder)

  • Carl-Friedrich Schleussner

    (Climate Analytics
    Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin)

Abstract

Considering cryosphere and warming uncertainties together implies drastically increased risk of threshold crossing in the cryosphere, even under lower-emission pathways, and underscores the need to halve emissions by 2030 in line with the 1.5 °C limit of the Paris Agreement.

Suggested Citation

  • Uta Kloenne & Alexander Nauels & Pam Pearson & Robert M. DeConto & Helen S. Findlay & Gustaf Hugelius & Alexander Robinson & Joeri Rogelj & Edward A. G. Schuur & Julienne Stroeve & Carl-Friedrich Schl, 2023. "Only halving emissions by 2030 can minimize risks of crossing cryosphere thresholds," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 9-11, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:13:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41558-022-01566-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01566-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Tessa Möller & Annika Ernest Högner & Carl-Friedrich Schleussner & Samuel Bien & Niklas H. Kitzmann & Robin D. Lamboll & Joeri Rogelj & Jonathan F. Donges & Johan Rockström & Nico Wunderling, 2024. "Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.

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