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Teleconnections among tipping elements in the Earth system

Author

Listed:
  • Teng Liu

    (Beijing Normal University)

  • Dean Chen

    (Beijing Normal University
    University of Helsinki)

  • Lan Yang

    (Beijing Normal University)

  • Jun Meng

    (Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications
    Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)

  • Zanchenling Wang

    (Peking University)

  • Josef Ludescher

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)

  • Jingfang Fan

    (Beijing Normal University
    Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)

  • Saini Yang

    (Beijing Normal University
    Beijing Normal University)

  • Deliang Chen

    (University of Gothenburg)

  • Jürgen Kurths

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
    Humboldt University)

  • Xiaosong Chen

    (Beijing Normal University)

  • Shlomo Havlin

    (Bar Ilan University)

  • Hans Joachim Schellnhuber

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)

Abstract

Tipping elements are components of the Earth system that may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at specific thresholds. It is not well understood to what degree tipping of one system can influence other regions or tipping elements. Here, we propose a climate network approach to analyse the global impacts of a prominent tipping element, the Amazon Rainforest Area (ARA). We find that the ARA exhibits strong correlations with regions such as the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and West Antarctic ice sheet. Models show that the identified teleconnection propagation path between the ARA and the TP is robust under climate change. In addition, we detect that TP snow cover extent has been losing stability since 2008. We further uncover that various climate extremes between the ARA and the TP are synchronized under climate change. Our framework highlights that tipping elements can be linked and also the potential predictability of cascading tipping dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Teng Liu & Dean Chen & Lan Yang & Jun Meng & Zanchenling Wang & Josef Ludescher & Jingfang Fan & Saini Yang & Deliang Chen & Jürgen Kurths & Xiaosong Chen & Shlomo Havlin & Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, 2023. "Teleconnections among tipping elements in the Earth system," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 67-74, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:13:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41558-022-01558-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01558-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Huaizhi Tang & Zibing Niu & Feng Cheng & Jiacheng Niu & Leina Zhang & Mengyu Guo & Yuanfang Huang, 2023. "Can We Prevent Irreversible Decline? A Comprehensive Analysis of Natural Conditions and Quality Factor Thresholds of Cultivated Land in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-17, August.
    2. Jun Meng & Jingfang Fan & Uma S. Bhatt & Jürgen Kurths, 2023. "Arctic weather variability and connectivity," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.

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