IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcli/v10y2020i6d10.1038_s41558-020-0773-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Climate velocity reveals increasing exposure of deep-ocean biodiversity to future warming

Author

Listed:
  • Isaac Brito-Morales

    (The University of Queensland
    Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Oceans and Atmosphere, BioSciences Precinct (QBP))

  • David S. Schoeman

    (University of the Sunshine Coast
    Nelson Mandela University)

  • Jorge García Molinos

    (Hokkaido University
    Hokkaido University
    Hokkaido University)

  • Michael T. Burrows

    (Scottish Association for Marine Science)

  • Carissa J. Klein

    (The University of Queensland)

  • Nur Arafeh-Dalmau

    (The University of Queensland
    The University of Queensland)

  • Kristin Kaschner

    (Albert‐Ludwigs University)

  • Cristina Garilao

    (GEOMAR, Helmholtz‐Zentrum für Ozeanforschung)

  • Kathleen Kesner-Reyes

    (International Rice Research Institute)

  • Anthony J. Richardson

    (Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Oceans and Atmosphere, BioSciences Precinct (QBP)
    The University of Queensland)

Abstract

Slower warming in the deep ocean encourages a perception that its biodiversity is less exposed to climate change than that of surface waters. We challenge this notion by analysing climate velocity, which provides expectations for species’ range shifts. We find that contemporary (1955–2005) climate velocities are faster in the deep ocean than at the surface. Moreover, projected climate velocities in the future (2050–2100) are faster for all depth layers, except at the surface, under the most aggressive GHG mitigation pathway considered (representative concentration pathway, RCP 2.6). This suggests that while mitigation could limit climate change threats for surface biodiversity, deep-ocean biodiversity faces an unavoidable escalation in climate velocities, most prominently in the mesopelagic (200–1,000 m). To optimize opportunities for climate adaptation among deep-ocean communities, future open-ocean protected areas must be designed to retain species moving at different speeds at different depths under climate change while managing non-climate threats, such as fishing and mining.

Suggested Citation

  • Isaac Brito-Morales & David S. Schoeman & Jorge García Molinos & Michael T. Burrows & Carissa J. Klein & Nur Arafeh-Dalmau & Kristin Kaschner & Cristina Garilao & Kathleen Kesner-Reyes & Anthony J. Ri, 2020. "Climate velocity reveals increasing exposure of deep-ocean biodiversity to future warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 10(6), pages 576-581, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:10:y:2020:i:6:d:10.1038_s41558-020-0773-5
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0773-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-0773-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41558-020-0773-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Juliette Jacquemont & Charles Loiseau & Luke Tornabene & Joachim Claudet, 2024. "3D ocean assessments reveal that fisheries reach deep but marine protection remains shallow," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Guillem Chust & Ernesto Villarino & Matthew McLean & Nova Mieszkowska & Lisandro Benedetti-Cecchi & Fabio Bulleri & Chiara Ravaglioli & Angel Borja & Iñigo Muxika & José A. Fernandes-Salvador & Leire , 2024. "Cross-basin and cross-taxa patterns of marine community tropicalization and deborealization in warming European seas," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    3. Alex S. J. Wyatt & James J. Leichter & Libe Washburn & Li Kui & Peter J. Edmunds & Scott C. Burgess, 2023. "Hidden heatwaves and severe coral bleaching linked to mesoscale eddies and thermocline dynamics," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Disha Sachan & Pankaj Kumar & Md. Saquib Saharwardi, 2022. "Contemporary climate change velocity for near-surface temperatures over India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 173(3), pages 1-19, August.
    5. María del Pilar García Pachón, Editora, 2020. "Lecturas sobre Derecho del Medio Ambiente Tomo XX," Books, Universidad Externado de Colombia, Facultad de Derecho, number 1218.
    6. Andreas Schwarz Meyer & Alex L. Pigot & Cory Merow & Kristin Kaschner & Cristina Garilao & Kathleen Kesner-Reyes & Christopher H. Trisos, 2024. "Temporal dynamics of climate change exposure and opportunities for global marine biodiversity," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. R. Iestyn Woolway, 2023. "The pace of shifting seasons in lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:10:y:2020:i:6:d:10.1038_s41558-020-0773-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.