IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nas/journl/v118y2021pe2105624118.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Globalization mitigates the risk of conflict caused by strategic territory

Author

Listed:
  • Quentin Gallea

    (Department of Economics, University of Zurich, 8001 Zurich, Switzerland; Enterprise for Society (E4S) Center, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland)

  • Dominic Rohner

    (Enterprise for Society (E4S) Center, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland; Department of Economics, Hautes Etudes Commerciales (HEC) Lausanne, University of Lausanne, 1015 Chavannes-près-Renens, Switzerland; Centre for Economic Policy Research, London EC1V 0DX, United Kingdom)

Abstract

Globalization is routinely blamed for various ills, including fueling conflict in strategic locations. To investigate whether these accusations are well founded, we have built a database to assess any given location’s strategic importance. Consistent with our game-theoretic model of strategic interaction, we find that overall fighting is more frequent in strategic locations close to maritime choke points (e.g., straits or capes), but that booming world trade openness considerably reduces the risks of conflict erupting in such strategic locations. The impact is quantitatively sizable, as moving one SD (1,100 km) closer to a choke point increases the conflict likelihood by 25% of the baseline risk in periods of low globalization, while reducing it during world trade booms. Our results have important policy implications for supranational coordination.

Suggested Citation

  • Quentin Gallea & Dominic Rohner, 2021. "Globalization mitigates the risk of conflict caused by strategic territory," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118(39), pages 2105624118-, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:nas:journl:v:118:y:2021:p:e2105624118
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.pnas.org/content/118/39/e2105624118.full
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Patrick Premand & Dominic Rohner, 2024. "Cash and Conflict: Large-Scale Experimental Evidence from Niger," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 6(1), pages 137-153, March.
    2. Quentin Gallea & Massimo Morelli & Dominic Rohner, 2022. "Power in the Pipeline," Papers 2210.03572, arXiv.org.
    3. Dominic Rohner, 2022. "Conflict, Civil Wars and Human Development," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 22.08, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
    4. Massimo Morelli & Dominic Rohner, 2023. "Natural resources and conflict: The crucial role of power mismatch and geographic asymmetries," Working Papers 698, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nas:journl:v:118:y:2021:p:e2105624118. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Eric Cain (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.pnas.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.