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The Impact of World Food Price on Domestic Inflation: Evidence from Sri Lanka

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  • P. Anusha
  • T. Pirasayiny
  • S. Sivarajasingham

Abstract

Food price contributes the largest share in the general price index in developing countries. Food prices have been increasing in Sri Lanka since 2003. The recent growth of global food prices affects the welfare of poor people, consumers and producers. In Sri Lanka large segment of the population spends more than 50 percent of their income on food; this study investigates and assesses how international food price surge affects domestic inflation process in Sri Lanka. The empirical statistical results are derived by using a battery of parametric and non-parametric econometric techniques using monthly data of price series for the period from 2003M1-2020M12. The Johansen's co-integration analysis results confirm that global food prices and domestic prices are co-integrated therefore Sri Lankan government needs to develop a safety net program for the poor and a poverty reduction strategy. Policy attention needs to shift towards efforts to increase food production in Sri Lanka. The results of the study have various policy implications of monetary policy, food and agriculture policy and trade policy for Sri Lanka.

Suggested Citation

  • P. Anusha & T. Pirasayiny & S. Sivarajasingham, 2022. "The Impact of World Food Price on Domestic Inflation: Evidence from Sri Lanka," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 12(2), pages 168-189, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:mth:ber888:v:12:y:2022:i:2:p:168-189
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lee, Suejin & Lim, Jae-Young & Lee, Hyun-Hoon & Park, Cyn-Young, 2013. "Food Prices and Population Health in Developing Countries: An Investigation of the Effects of the Food Crisis Using a Panel Analysis," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 374, Asian Development Bank.
    2. Lee , Hyun-Hoon & Park, Cyn-Young, 2013. "International Transmission of Food Prices and Volatilities: A Panel Analysis," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 373, Asian Development Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sharma, Purushottam & Meena, Dinesh Chand & Anwer, Md. Ejaz, 2024. "Food Price Inflation in India: Determinants and their Asymmetric Impact," IAAE 2024 Conference, August 2-7, 2024, New Delhi, India 344332, International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE).

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    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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