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Crowding - in Effect of Public Investment on Private Investment

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  • Toshiya Hatano

    (Professor, Meiji University)

Abstract

This study investigates the effects of public investment on private investment based on Japanese empirical data. Since public capital is accumulated in tandem with the accumulation of private capital in the long-run from a historical perspective, it is quite natural that there is a positive relationship between private investment and public investment. However, some previous studies have provided evidence for the crowding-in effect of public investment on private investment while other studies have provided evidence for the crowding-out effect. What is the reason for these inconsistent results on the crowding-in effect? In order to answer this question, we will consider the possibility of analyzing the long-run relationship between private and public investment on the stock phase rather than the flow phase. Our empirical results show that there is a cointegration relationship between private capital and public capital. Accordingly, the relationship between private and public investment should be represented by an error correction mechanism designed to achieve a long-run stock equilibrium. Estimating the error correction model, we affirm the crowding-in effect of public investment on private investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Toshiya Hatano, 2010. "Crowding - in Effect of Public Investment on Private Investment," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 6(1), pages 105-120, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:mof:journl:ppr007e
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    File URL: http://warp.ndl.go.jp/info:ndljp/pid/9908001/www.mof.go.jp/english/pri/publication/pp_review/ppr007/ppr007e.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Nguyen Thi Canh & Nguyen Anh Phong, 2018. "Effect of Public Investment on Private Investment and Economic Growth: Evidence From Vietnam by Economic Industries," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 95-110, March.
    2. Abiad (ADB), Abdul & Furceri (IMF and University of Palermo), Davide & Topalova (IMF), Petia, 2016. "The macroeconomic effects of public investment: Evidence from advanced economies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 224-240.
    3. Harold P.E. Ngalawa & Augustine Adebayo Kutu, 2024. "Public and Private Sector Capital Formation and Economic Growth in Malawi," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(5), pages 279-288, September.
    4. Tomomi Miyazaki, 2018. "Interactions between regional public and private investment: evidence from Japanese prefectures," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 60(1), pages 195-211, January.
    5. Ranjan Kumar Mohanty, 2016. "Does Fiscal Deficit Crowd Out Private Corporate Sector Investment In India?," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 64(05), pages 1201-1224, November.
    6. Dreger, Christian & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2014. "On the relationship between public and private investment in the euro area," Discussion Papers 344, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics.
    7. Hüseyin Şen & Ayşe Kaya, 2014. "Crowding-Out or Crowding-In? Analyzing the Effects of Government Spending on Private Investment in Turkey," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(6), pages 617-630, December.
    8. Hongyun Han & Shuang Lin, 2019. "Government Size and Regional Capital Flows in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-19, November.
    9. Carvelli, Gianni, 2024. "The dynamic effects of public investments on private capital formation: Modelling a heterogeneous asymmetric cointegration with unobserved global factors," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    10. Vaca Medina, Gustavo & Vaca, Jesús & Mora Pérez, César Omar, 2020. "The impact of public debt on economic growth: an empirical study of Mexico (1994–2016)," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
    11. Miyazaki, Tomomi & Hiraga, Kazuki & Kozuka, Masafumi, 2024. "Stock market response to public investment under the zero lower bound: Cross-industry evidence from Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    12. Dreger, Christian & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2016. "Does public investment stimulate private investment? Evidence for the euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 154-158.
    13. Jato, Terungwa Paul Joseph & Nwankwo, Nneka, 2024. "Crowding-out Effect of Public Debt on Private Sector Credit in Nigeria," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 12(3), September.
    14. Rouhollah Shahnazi & Maryam Lashani Afrasiabi, 2018. "Effect of Exogenous Oil Revenue Shocks on Reallocation of Public and Private Investments in Iran," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(1), pages 27-37.
    15. Baussola, Maurizio & Carvelli, Gianni, 2023. "Public and private investments: Long-run asymmetric effects in France and the US," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).

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