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Public Information Arrival and Emerging Markets Returns and Volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Ali M. Kutan

    (Southern Illinois University-Edwardsville, U.S.A.)

  • Tansu Aksoy

    (Southern Illinois University-Edwardsville, U.S.A.)

Abstract

Recent findings have heightened the debate about the usefulness of public information in asset markets. Using daily composite and sector index returns, this paper examines the role of public information arrival in an emerging, high-inflation economy like Turkey. The findings reveal that real GDP and industrial production announcements have the most important impact on stock returns. Regarding inflation, nominal stock returns increase in response to unfavorable inflation announcements, but only for the financials sector and partially. Market volatility is more sensitive to news about real GNP, balance of trade, tourism and construction. Implications of the findings for market participants are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali M. Kutan & Tansu Aksoy, 2004. "Public Information Arrival and Emerging Markets Returns and Volatility," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 8(3-4), pages 227-245, september.
    • Handle: RePEc:mfj:journl:v:8:y:2004:i:3-4:p:227-245
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sui, Meng & Rengifo, Erick W. & Court, Eduardo, 2021. "Gold, inflation and exchange rate in dollarized economies – A comparative study of Turkey, Peru and the United States," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 82-99.
    2. Manolis G. Kavussanos & Ilias D. Visvikis, 2011. "The Predictability of Non-Overlapping Forecasts: Evidence from a New Market," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 15(1-2), pages 125-156, March - J.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    emerging markets; GARCH models; stock market volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services

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